Page 5 - AsianOil Week 22
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AsianOil                                     ASIA-PACIFIC                                           AsianOil




























                         ($4.64bn). The spending cuts were revealed at  contracts, meaning that while prices will be bet-
                         the same time the company reported a 68% year-  ter than the spot market, they will still be worth
                         on-year collapse in its first-quarter net profit to  less than this time last year owing to oil price
                         MYR4.5bn ($1.03bn).                  indexation.
                           With the international gas market tanking,   The sustained pressure on the LNG market
                         the region’s largest gas exporter – Australia – has  has reportedly encouraged Royal Dutch Shell to
                         begun turning its attention to ways it can prop up  consider the sale of a stake in the common facil-
                         domestic producers.                  ities at its Queensland Curtis LNG (QCLNG)
                                                              plant.
                         Domestic focus                         “Royal Dutch Shell is considering a sale of a
                         Australian Energy Minister Angus Taylor said  26.25% interest in the QCLNG common facili-
                         last week that it was essential for the country to  ties – a multi-billion dollar investment opportu-
                         lean on gas-fired power generation as it transi-  nity,” Reuters quoted a sale flyer as saying. The
                         tions to a greener economy.          newswire quoted unnamed industry sources as
                           Taylor’s comments came following an update  saying the stake could sell for $2-3bn.
                         to the Australian Energy Statistics, which showed   Shell owns a majority stake in the QCLNG
                         that renewable energy sources accounted for  plant, but wholly owns the common facilities
                         21% of the country’s power generation in 2019.  that include two LNG storage tanks, water, fuel
                         Gas-fired power generation represented 20.5%  and power systems, a jetty and terminals.
                         of the national total.
                           Taylor said: “Gas is flexible and provides the  What next
                         dispatchable capacity we increasingly need to  Global LNG demand must first bounce back
                         balance intermittent renewables and deliver a  to pre-COVID-19 levels before the process of
                         secure, reliable and affordable electricity system  soaking up additional supply can begin. It is still
                         to power our homes, businesses and industries.”  unclear how that process will unfold, with the
                           He added: “This has never been more impor-  International Monetary Fund (IMF) warning
                         tant – particularly as we begin our recovery from  recently that its April forecast of a 3% contrac-
                         the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is  tion in the global economy is looking increas-
                         why the Australian government believes a gas-  ingly optimistic.
                         fired recovery will drive jobs and economic   As it stands, the IMF expects the global econ-
                         growth.”                             omy to partially bounce back in 2021, with a
                           To this end, he encouraged state and terri-  predicted growth of 5.8%. The body said: “The
                         tory governments to do more to help developers  cumulative loss to global GDP over 2020 and
                         bring fields into production.        2021 from the pandemic crisis could be around
                           His comments come at a tough time for the  9 trillion dollars, greater than the economies of
                         country’s LNG sector. In the wake of the oil price  Japan and Germany combined.”
                         crash and the pandemic’s demand destruc-  Much depends on the global response to a
                         tion, the country’s biggest developers have  second wave of infections, which will come as
                         deferred several major export orientated pro-  quarantine conditions are relaxed. If major econ-
                         jects. Woodside Petroleum has deferred FIDs  omies embrace a second lockdown the economic
                         on the Scarborough, Pluto Train 2 and Browse  impact will far surpass current projections based
                         LNG projects, while Santos has pushed the Dar-  on a single wave of social distancing restrictions.
                         win LNG back-fill Barossa development to the  Indeed, LNG may not recover to pre-COVID-19
                         backburner.                          levels until well into 2022.
                           Australia’s LNG shipments climbed 3% y/y   This will lead to a prolonged LNG price
                         in April to 6.9mn tonnes, or 101 cargoes, local  slump and even less motivation to develop
                         consultancy EnergyQuest said in May. The car-  projects beyond the scope of meeting contrac-
                         goes are likely to be part of long-term supply  tual obligations.™



       Week 22   04•June•2020                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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