Page 5 - AfrOil Week 12 2023
P. 5

AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                               AfrOil


                         Taken together, he said, they represent a “perfect   link Mozambique’s vast gas reserves to South
                         storm” of problems.                  Africa via a 2,600-km onshore pipeline. This
                           Just as all eyes were on North America after   project is expected to expand electricity access
                         the 1965 blackout, the world is watching for   throughout the region.
                         South Africa’s long-overdue response to its coal-  Not only will the ARP carry gas to major cit-
                         driven energy crisis. It’s no surprise that climate   ies along the pipeline route, but regional exten-
                         activists have seized the opportunity to say this   sions will also provide fuel for electricity to
                         is why Africa needs renewables. (As we all know,   Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Zambia, the Democratic
                         they’ve been beating the anti-fossil fuel drum for   Republic of the Congo (DRC), Botswana and
                         some time, running fervent campaigns against   Malawi. In addition to providing an accessible
                         oil and gas that include what amounts to out-  energy source for electricity generation, the
                         right bans on project financing).    ARP will reduce those nations’ fuel import bills.
                           And considering that the carbon dioxide   Construction of the pipeline is scheduled to
                         emissions produced by Eskom’s coal-fired plants   begin in 2023, but domestic users are already
                         help place South Africa among the world’s top-  queuing up. There’s interest in almost 60% of the
                         20 emitting countries, their point is well-taken,   pipeline’s annual capacity, which is estimated to
                         at least in that regard. Even President Rama-  be 18 bcm.
                         phosa has jumped on the renewables band-  The ARP isn’t the only project tying South
                         wagon, describing how solar panels on the roofs   Africa and Mozambique. South African energy
                         of houses and businesses can become a source of   company Gigajoule and joint development
                         new generating capacity, with customers able to   partner TotalEnergies expect their $550 million
                         sell surplus electricity into the grid.  Matola LNG import facility in Mozambique to
                           While the AEC has long supported the role   become a major source of gas for South Africa.
                         of renewables in expanding reliable electric-  The project will use the existing ROMPCO pipe-
                         ity to Africans, ramping up enough solar and   line between Mozambique and South Africa to
                         wind power to make a meaningful difference   meet growing gas demand throughout Africa’s
                         isn’t something that can happen overnight. As   southern region. And if South African Minister
                         the AEC report notes, however, South Africa is   of Mineral Resources and Energy Gwede Man-
                         fortunate to have other options that won’t take   tashe has his way, Matola will provide feedstock   South Africa
                         years or even decades to deploy.     for three power plants in Mpumalanga province
                           South Africa’s energy challenges will be front   that are currently running on coal.  ought to
                         and center at African Energy Week scheduled
                         to take place on October 16-20 in Cape Town.  The promise of Namibia      speed up gas
                                                              Mozambique’s new developments aren’t the only   development
                         Count on the neighbours              ones South Africa may eventually be able to turn
                         For one thing, the nation should accelerate its   to for a neighbourly injection of fuel that can be   to alleviate
                         own gas agenda to alleviate persistent electricity   used to generate electricity.
                         issues.                                Namibia is also on the cusp of becoming a   persistent
                           That includes fast-tracking production   regional hydrocarbon hub, although more work
                         license permitting for TotalEnergies (France),   needs to be done to determine how much gas   electricity
                         which wants to develop the Brulpadda and Lui-  its oil-rich Orange Basin holds. The AEC report   issues
                         perd prospects in the Outeniqua Basin, 175 km   describes early successes by Shell (UK) and
                         off the southern coast of South Africa. These dis-  TotalEnergies at their offshore Graff, La Rona,
                         coveries contain combined reserves of 4.5 tril-  Jonker and Venus wells. The Venus-1x wildcat
                         lion cubic feet (127.4bn cubic metres) of natural   alone is targeting a prospect with multiple bil-
                         gas and 192mn barrels of gas condensate.  lions of barrels of oil. Just how much associated
                           According to published news reports, while   gas is present in the basin remains to be deter-
                         some gas from the project will be used in pet-  mined, but the area around Venus-1x could hold
                         rochemical manufacturing, a pipeline will   as much as 10-20 trillion cubic feet (283.2-566.4
                         carry significant volumes to Eskom’s Gourikwa   bcm).
                         thermal power plant (TPP). This will make the   Getting Namibian gas to South Africa won’t
                         project integral to South Africa’s gas-to-power   happen overnight, of course. It will take time
                         (GTP) aspirations, as well as weaning the coun-  and money to develop the discoveries and build
                         try off coal-dominated energy generation.  export infrastructure. But as the AEC report
                           But increased gas production may not be   says, Namibia’s role as a gas exporter to South
                         enough, at least in the short term, to resolve   Africa cannot be ruled out. And that means that
                         South Africa’s pressing energy crisis. I believe   there’s hope that in the future, the question of
                         South Africa should also continue to build   where you were when the lights went out will be
                         upon intra-African collaboration, using African   relegated to South African history.
                         resources to generate and deliver energy domes-  In the meantime, South Africa’s energy chal-
                         tically rather than exporting it abroad. One place   lenges will be front and center at African Energy
                         South Africa is already making inroads is with   Week scheduled to take place on October 16-20
                         neighboring Mozambique, which has emerged   in Cape Town.
                         as a major global gas competitor after block-
                         buster offshore natural gas discoveries.  NJ Ayuk is the executive chairman of the
                           The report looks at the proposed African   African Energy Chamber (AEC). Article
                         Renaissance Pipeline (ARP) project, which will   reprinted courtesy of AEC. ™



       Week 13   30•March•2023                 www. NEWSBASE .com                                               P5
   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10