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AsianOil                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsianOil




































       Canadian flip-flopping on LNG




       leaves Japan, Korea hanging






       Despite the potential, there is a reluctance in Canada to commit to large-scale LNG export projects.


        CANADA-ASIA      AT a recent webinar attended by ambassadors  LNG-hungry customers on the opposite side of
                         from both Japan and South Korea in addi-  the North Pacific, Canadian LNG infrastructure
       WHAT:             tion to a number of high-ranking Canadian  has largely stagnated over the past ten years.
       Japan and South Korea   energy officials, Tokyo’s envoy to Ottawa, Kanji   This is despite Canadian Prime Minister Jus-
       are reaching out to   Yamanouchi, said: “if everything goes well, by  tin Trudeau in 2018 working to publicise a huge
       Canada as a source of   the end of 2024, the first shipment of LNG will  $40bn investment in LNG Canada; a project he
       additional LNG supply.  be will be sent to Japan.”     now seems to have lost interest in altogether.
                           “That will be a game-changer” the career dip-  Sources indicate that just one of around 15
       WHY:              lomat added.                         LNG proposals initiated in north-west Can-
       Amid the current energy   The much-anticipated coming together of  ada in recent years remains active; the Kitimat
       crisis, both countries are   representatives from the trans-Pacific nations  project now being pursued by Japanese and
       starved of affordable LNG.  was sponsored by the Canada West Foundation  Korean officials. The rest have reportedly been
                         to help cater to Japanese and more recent Korean  abandoned.
       WHAT NEXT:        attempts to source Canadian LNG in the years   Whether or not this is merely a reluctance to
       Canada has been slow to   ahead.                       add to existing LNG terminals by investors, or a
       develop its LNG potential,   Yet while optimists in the two Asian capitals  lack of government interest in exporting one of
       but the hope is that the   are hoping to see the first Western Canadian  the nation’s major natural resources is a question
       first Canadian LNG cargo   gas imports from Kitimat coming into port in  bemusing regional analysts.
       will arrive in Japan in   the not too distant future, questions remain as   “Like many, I was disappointed to see little or
       2024.             to whether or not Canada will be able to supply  no commitment at a federal level to increasing
                         them.                                efforts to supply LNG to our reliable allies in
                           At the crux of the matter is Canada’s apparent  Asia, particularly in these uncertain times,” vice
                         reluctance to build any more large-scale LNG  chairman and Calgary managing partner for one
                         export terminals.                    of the webinar sponsors, Patrick Maguire, said.
                           According to Dulles Wang, the director of   Japan’s deputy director and legal counsel at
                         Americas Gas and LNG Research, at Wood Mac-  the Japan Organisation for Metals and Energy
                         kenzie, “the market potential in Korea and Japan  Security (JOGMEC), Kenryo Mizutani, has
                         is just tremendous.”                 previously pointed out that Canada’s declared
                           Unfortunately, even with the guaranteed  energy sufficiency is around 180%



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