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AfrOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               AfrOil

































                                                                                       Storage tank in Libya (Photo: TotalEnergies)


       Libyan contradictions





       and contraindications







       The North African country appears to be drawing interest from several major IOCs, but the
       impending presidential election could spark enough turmoil to prevent a new wave of investment




                         THERE has been some good news coming out   years, we have [shifted] increasing shares of gas
                         of Libya lately, in that several international oil   production from export to the domestic market
       WHAT:             companies (IOCs) have shown interest in new   to fulfil domestic market demand. This clearly
       Following TotalEnergies’   projects or in expanding existing schemes to   demonstrates the utmost attention we have paid
       new agreements on Waha   include natural gas, gas-to-power and renewable   to the economic and industrial development of
       and Eni’s show of interest   energy components, as well as crude oil produc-  Libya.”
       in Libya’s domestic gas   tion and exports.              Since then,  Reuters has reported that
       market, Shell is rumoured   TotalEnergies (France), for example,   UK-based Shell (formerly Royal Dutch Shell)
       to be considering a new   revealed late last month that it had signed a   was considering a return to the North African
       project.          package of agreements worth more than $2bn   state. Two sources told the news agency at the
                         with the Government of National Unity (GNU).   end of November that the international major
       WHY:              Under those agreements, the French major will   was looking into proposals for coming back to
       The investment climate is   increase its equity stake in the Waha oilfields   Libya to develop oil, gas and solar resources. The
       looking shaky in the run-
       up to the December 24   from 16.33% to 20.41%, raise the fields’ produc-  sources did not say whether Shell was eyeing
       presidential election.  tion capacity, install a gas gathering network in   any specific projects, but Reuters noted that the
                         order to reduce associated gas flaring, establish   company had exited Libya about 10 years ago
       WHAT NEXT:        500 MW of solar generating capacity and pro-  in response to the turmoil that erupted follow-
       Pre- and post-election   vide electric power to local communities and   ing the ouster of the country’s long-time ruler,
       unrest could lead IOCs to   industrial facilities.     Moammar Qaddafi.
       postpone projects.  Around the same time, Eni (Italy) indicated
                         that it saw Libya itself as a growth market for   Political challenges
                         gas. Speaking at the Libya Energy & Economic   At the same time, these positive developments
                         Summit in Tripoli on November 22, the Italian   have been paired with uneasy speculation about
                         major’s COO Alessandro Puliti said: “In the past   Libya’s upcoming presidential elections.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 50   15•December•2021
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