Page 8 - MEOG Week 01 2021
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MEOG                                      POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG


       OPEC picks new secretary




       general as restrictions ease






        OPEC             OPEC this week elected its new secretary-gen-  he said.
                         eral, voting in Kuwaiti industry veteran Haitham   Al-Ghais’ appointment was welcomed by
                         al-Ghais, who will replace Nigerian Mohammed  Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Sal-
                         Barkindo in August.                  man, who offered his “cordial congratulations”.
                           His election was announced a day before the   Meanwhile, he was quoted by Al Arabiya as
                         group and its OPEC+ partners decided to pro-  saying that he expects global oil demand to reach
                         ceed with their planned easing of output restric-  pre-pandemic levels by the end of the year.
                         tions in February.                     With OPEC+ having been nervous about the
                           Al-Ghais told Reuters that supporting “the  impact of the mutating coronavirus (COVID-
                         continuation of this Declaration of Co-opera-  19) when it last met, a JTC report on January 2
                         tion” into 2023 is one of his top priorities.   played down the impact of the Omicron variant.
                           “It’s in the wider interest of the industry and   It said Omicron “is expected to be mild
                         all the 23 countries that have signed up to this  and short-lived, as the world becomes better
                         agreement,” he added, noting that he would work  equipped to manage COVID-19 and its related
                         to “preserve and nurture” relations with Russia.  challenges”, suggesting that the group was
                           The secretary-general-elect spoke of his  unlikely to make any knee-jerk reactions.
                         “unwavering” commitment to the Joint Techni-  This indeed turned out to be the case when
                         cal Committee (JTC) and the Joint Ministerial  the group reached a quick decision on January
                         Monitoring Committee (JMMC).         4, proceeding with plans to ease production cuts
                           “I have hands-on experience of what the  by a further 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) next
                         JTC does, what the JMMC does. I’ve attended  month. However, with some members having
                         all these meetings since 2017, I haven’t missed  struggled to reach their targets, only a fraction
                         a single meeting, even when I had a broken leg,”  of this is seen making its way on to the market.™

                                               Targets (mbpd)              Baseline (mbpd)
                                         January 2022  February 2022 Until end May 2022 May 2022 onwards
                          OPEC
                          Algeria                0.972       0.982           1.057          1.057
                          Angola                 1.406       1.421           1.528          1.528
                          Congo (Brazzaville)      0.3       0.303           0.325          0.325
                          Equatorial Guinea      0.117       0.118           0.127          0.127
                          Gabon                  0.172       0.173           0.187          0.187
                          Iran                  Exempt     Exempt          Exempt         Exempt
                          Iraq                   4.281       4.325           4.653          4.803
                          Kuwait                 2.585       2.612           2.809          2.959
                          Libya                 Exempt     Exempt          Exempt         Exempt
                          Nigeria                1.683       1.701           1.829          1.829
                          Saudi Arabia          10.122      10.227          11.000         11.500
                          UAE                    2.916       2.946           3.168          3.500
                          Venezuela             Exempt     Exempt          Exempt         Exempt
                          Total                 24.554      24.808          26.683         27.815

                          Non-OPEC
                          Azerbaijan             0.661       0.668           0.718          0.718
                          Bahrain                0.189       0.191           0.205          0.205
                          Brunei                 0.094       0.095           0.102          0.102
                          Kazakhstan             1.572       1.589           1.709          1.709
                          Malaysia               0.548       0.554           0.595          0.595
                          Mexico                 1.753       1.753         Exempt         Exempt
                          Oman                   0.812       0.821           0.883          0.883
                          Russia                10.122      10.227          11.000         11.500
                          Sudan                  0.069        0.07           0.075          0.075
                          South Sudan            0.119       0.121           0.130          0.130
                          Total                 15.939      16.089          15.417         15.917
                          OPEC+                 40.493      40.897           42.1          43.732



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