Page 11 - FSUOGM Week 18 2021
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FSUOGM                                      PERFORMANCE                                            FSUOGM



                         Another big contributor to the group’s consol-  9% year on year to UAH66.3bn ($2.39bn) and
                         idated EBITDA was Ukrnafta, the EBITDA of   net debt reached UAH29.2bn ($1.05bn) as of
                         which reached UAH9.6bn ($345mn), up from   end-2020, compared to net cash a year ago. Its
                         losses in 2019. Its negative EBITDA in the com-  net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 1.3x as of
                         merce segment increased 64% year on year to   end-2020.
                         UAH15.8bn ($569mn).                    “The key drivers of the company’s 2020 neg-
                           The company’s losses before tax reached   ative bottom line were receivables provisions
                         UAH14.0bn ($504mn) in 2020, compared to   of UAH42.6bn [$1.53bn], up 6.7x year on year,
                         UAH4.9bn ($176mn) profit in 2019, and net   and impairment losses of UAH8.0bn ($288mn),
                         losses amounted to UAH19.0bn ($684mn),   down 16% year on year,’ an analyst at the Kyiv-
                         compared to UAH2.6bn ($94mn) a year before).   based Concorde Capital brokerage said in a
                         According to the company’s press release, its   research note. “Such cost items were partially
                         adjusted net profit was UAH3.2bn in 2020.  compensated by UAH32.2bn ($1.16bn) in
                           “If there were no debt crisis inflicted by the   received compensation from the government
                         inefficient state regulation of natural gas prices,   for its PSO losses.”
                         the group would have been profitable in this   The note continues: “Net of the above
                         tough year,” Kobolev commented.      items, the company’s profit before tax would
                           The company’s operating cash flow before   be UAH4.3bn ($155mn) in 2020, which is still
                         working capital changes was UAH61.0bn   not encouraging, as the comparable number for
                         ($2.19bn) in 2020, down 62% year on year. It   2019 would be UAH20.8bn ($748mn). Some
                         generated UAH19.5bn ($702mn) in cash from   higher expected achieved price for natural gas
                         operations, down 82% year on year, and used   should improve the company’s margins in 2021.
                         UAH22.8bn ($820mn) in cash for investments,   Its cost-cutting measures will be also helpful for
                         down 3% year on year in 2020. Its financing cash   this year’s results but are likely to undermine its
                         outflow was UAH50.5bn ($1.82bn), up 3x year   growth, especially in the E&P segment. That
                         on year, which was a result of the net repayment   said, we see that in the 1- to 2-year horizon,
                         of debt and payment of heavy dividends, which   Naftogaz will maintain its strong balance sheet
                         were worth UAH39.5bn ($1.42bn), up 91% y/y).   and slightly improve its operating margins,” an
                           Its end-2020 cash position was UAH37.1bn   analyst at the Kyiv-based Concorde Capital bro-
                         ($1.33bn), down 52% y/y. Its total debt increased   kerage said in a research note. ™


       Rising gas production seen boosting




       Ukraine’s GDP growth by 3% per year






                         UKRAINE has a gas deficit. It has to import
                         some 15bn cubic metres (bcm) of gas every year,
                         which it used to get from Russia, but now buys
                         from its partners in Western Europe. But the
                         imports remain huge drain on the budget. Now
                         the national gas company Naftogaz has started
                         a drive to increase the amount of gas Ukraine
                         procures and close the deficit.
                           Ukraine is not rich in gas deposits, but it does
                         have two sizable basins in the east and west of
                         the country that already produce some 20 bcm
                         a year, meeting just over half the country’s needs.
                           As part of the renewed privatisation process
                         the government has been auctioning off rights
                         to explore and produce gas using its ProZoro
                         online auction system and investors have been
                         taking an interest.                          Ukraine imports some 15bn cubic metres of gas every year (File Photo)
                           The implementation of the existing project
                         portfolio of Ukrainian gas producing companies   creation of 22,000 new jobs in the industry, a rise
                         could lead to an increase in gas production to 30   in budget contributions of UAH145bn ($5.2bn)
                         bcm of gas per year for 10 years, which will allow   and of GDP growth by UAH345bn ($12.4bn),
                         the country to cease its imports completely, Naf-  the company said.
                         togaz said in a press release on April 28. Such   It was basing its estimates on a study it com-
                         an increase in production would lead to the   missioned from KPMG in Ukraine..



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