Page 5 - AsianOil Week 05 2023
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AsianOil                              PIPELINES & TRANSPORT                                         AsianOil



























       Indian imports of Russian oil could break



       records in 2023





        INDIA            REPORTS from India point towards oil imports  continue in line with long-standing supply
                         from Russia hitting new highs this year.  contracts, while Russian shipments will now be
       India has taken     If so, it will be a major turnaround for a nation  snapped up as and when needed.
       advantage of Urals’   once seen as a fringe player in terms of imports to   Authorities in India also say that Russia’s next
       steep discount.   the subcontinent just a few years ago.  crude shipment could arrive later in the month,
                           Imports of Russian crude by New Delhi  with Indian refineries waiting to convert the
                         increased throughout 2022.           crude into diesel before selling it on to buyers
                           This was despite pressure on the government  across the region and as far away as Europe.
                         of Narendra Modi from leading Western nations   The irony of the oil making its way to India
                         and the European Union to fall into line with  before then heading back to Europe was not
                         anti-Russian sanctions put in place as a response  lost on Mukesh Sahdev, head of downstream oil
                         to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.     trading at Rystad Energy, last week. “It’s bit of a
                           India remains reliant on imported oil for over  circular trade going on as India takes Russian
                         80% of its consumption.              crude that Western buyers don’t want (before)
                           As such, New Delhi stayed committed to  refining it into products for resale to the West,”
                         being allowed to make its own decisions on oil  he said in a recent interview.
                         and gas imports, repeatedly pointing to domestic   An ongoing EU embargo on seaborne
                         energy security as more important to the nation’s  imports is having some effect on Russian crude
                         1.4bn population, than anti-Russian politics in  movements, but India with its economic clout is
                         the West.  In a knock-on effect, Russia contin-  not a nation Western nations are willing to go
                         ued to offer discounted shipments, guarantee-  head to head with just yet, and for the large part
                         ing a supply of foreign capital to finance its own  remains unaffected.
                         energy infrastructure, in the process pushing   According to Ben Cahill, Senior Fellow of
                         numbers exported to India to never-before-seen  the Energy Security and Climate Change Pro-
                         levels.                              gramme in a piece for the Center for Strategic
                           This in turn increased the market share of  and International Studies (CSIS) “a large disrup-
                         Russian imports to India to 15% of the year’s  tion is certainly possible” in supplies, but this will
                         total, a huge rise on the 1% posted in 2021.  likely be temporary at worst.
                           Saudi Arabia alongside Iraq continue to hold   Cahill adds that “it is more likely that Rus-
                         the top two rankings on India’s list of crude  sian exports will bounce back from a temporary
                         suppliers, but with Russia now up to third,  decline in December, as weather-related chal-
                         overall imports of OPEC oil have decreased  lenges subside and as buyers increase their com-
                         significantly.                       fort level with new shipping routes and terms.”
                           At least once source has now said OPEC   And with some sources now saying that an
                         shipments to India are at their lowest level in a  undisclosed number of “tankers holding some
                         decade, although it is unlikely numbers will drop  19mn barrels of crude left ports in the four
                         much further.                        weeks to December 30, showing no clear final
                           According to a Times of India report, indus-  destination” according to Cahill, India could be
                         try executives in the nation’s capital have said  receiving its next shipment of Russian crude very
                         that imports from Saudi Arabia and Iraq will  soon. ™



       Week 05   04•February•2023               www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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