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LatAmOil                                      COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil














































                                                                                             (Photo: Presidential Press Service)

       What’s next for US sanctions?







       The incoming Biden administration is likely to take a softer approach to restrictions

       on trade with Venezuela, but Guaido will continue to play a role in US policy discussions



                         VENEZUELA’S political scene has become   cover financial institutions, shipping compa-
                         more tumultuous since the presidential election   nies and other entities involved in Venezuelan
       WHAT:             held in December 2018, which saw the incum-  oil exports. As a result of these moves, PdV-
       The opposition leader   bent Nicolas Maduro gain a second term amidst   SA’s ability to secure the parts and equipment
       has lost ground, despite   widespread claims of voter fraud. Maduro’s   needed to keep its production, processing and
       the Trump team’s efforts   main critic was opposition leader Juan Guaido,   refining facilities in good working order was
       to discourage trade in   who declared the vote illegitimate in early 2019   severely impeded. Accordingly, crude output
       Venezuelan oil.   and assumed the post of interim president.  plummeted and domestic fuel shortages became
                           Shortly thereafter, the US government, a   common.
       WHY:              long-time critic of Venezuela’s socialist regime,
       President-elect Biden   backed Guaido’s claim to power and imposed   Holding on to power
       now has a greater incen-  stricter sanctions on Caracas, expanding trade   Despite these challenges, though, Washington’s
       tive to reverse course.
                         restrictions to include the national oil company   efforts to oust Maduro never succeeded.
                         (NOC) PdVSA. This move caused great finan-  Instead, the Venezuelan president man-
       WHAT NEXT:        cial hardship, as it severely curtailed PdVSA’s   aged to sideline Guaido and his allies. In Jan-
       Guaido will continue
       to play a role in policy   ability to export crude oil, the country’s main   uary 2020, he set up a new legislative body to
       discussions, owing to his   source of hard currency revenues.  replace the opposition-led National Assembly.
       success in taking control   And the hardships only increased after the   In response, opposition deputies refused to rec-
       of Citgo.         administration of US President Donald Trump   ognise the new body, which was also called the
                         expanded the range of the sanctions regime to   National Assembly.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                        Week 02   14•January•2021
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