Page 6 - FSUOGM Week 30 2021
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FSUOGM                                        COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM

































       Russia raises spectre





       of gasoline export




       ban again






       Russian wholesale gasoline prices are once again soaring, raising the

       prospect of further regulation if not a full-on export ban



        RUSSIA           RUSSIA’S energy ministry has once again raised  more into the budget when indicative domestic
                         the prospect of imposing a ban on gasoline  pump prices are higher than export netbacks.
       WHAT:             exports, following a steep spike in wholesale  Conversely, they can collect a subsidy when the
       Russia is considering a   prices.                      situation is reversed.
       ban on gasoline exports   The process of introducing the ban will begin   However, the mechanism also means that
       after a spike in wholesale   if gasoline prices on the St Petersburg Interna-  independent fuel retailers cannot pass high
       prices.           tional Mercantile Exchange (SPIMEX) do not  wholesale prices on to consumers, and many
                         ease back from record levels, Russian Energy  such operators have been loss-making for much
       WHY:              Ministry Nikolai Shulgnov said on July 22. The  of this year. The Russian Fuel Union that repre-
       Rising international   ministry will also consider signing agreements  sents independent filling station operators has
       prices and growing fuel   with oil companies on regulating volumes and  warned repeatedly that many of its members are
       demand at home are   prices in the wholesale market. It may also  at risk of bankruptcy.
       behind the price growth.  require oil companies to increase how much
                         gasoline they have to sell at SPIMEX to 15%.  Further wholesale requirements
       WHAT NEXT:          Wholesale prices has seen a near unprece-  Russia is likely to consider a ban on gasoline
       The energy ministry   dented rally in recent months as a result of rising  exports as a last resort. However, the government
       is unlikely to resort to   international oil prices and increased summer  had already drafted a decree on this temporary
       a measure as drastic   demand for motor fuels. Pump prices remain  measure in April anyway, to have it ready in the
       as a ban, but might   low, however, owing to the damper mechanism  event of an emergency. In May, Deputy Prime
       agree to increased sale   in Russia’s oil taxation. Introduced after a spike  Minister Alexander Novak said the ban would
       requirements.     in prices in 2018, this mechanism gives suppli-  only be introduced if urgently needed, describ-
                         ers more incentive to keep costs for motorists  ing it as an “extreme” measure.
                         low. Under this mechanism, suppliers must pay   A more likely prospect is greater price



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                           Week 30   28•July•2021
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