Page 8 - GLNG Week 38 2022
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG




































                         Turning to Venezuela?
                         This shift is good news for Port of Spain, given  will continue to be difficult to secure large-scale
                         the current price differentials between US and  investment in Venezuelan gas projects.
                         European gas markets, and it does put the coun-
                         try in a better position to benefit from current  Running out of time?
                         conditions on world gas markets. However, it  And that is unfortunate for the plan favoured by
                         does not address the medium- and long-term  Rowley et al., as a great deal of investment will
                         problems of how to compensate for declining  be needed to facilitate gas shipments from Ven-
                         gas output and maturing fields.      ezuela to Trinidad and Tobago.
                           Nevertheless, the Energy Chamber of Trini-  The two countries may not be far apart geo-
                         dad & Tobago pointed out in a blog post earlier  graphically, and their maritime zones may
                         this month that at least one possible solution  adjoin. They may even share a major asset –
                         had already been put forward. Rowley and his  namely, a sizeable gas field known alternately as
                         Energy Minister Stuart Young, along with Guy-  Loran and Manatee. But Venezuela’s oil and gas
                         ana’s President Irfaan Ali and officials from other  sector is not in the best condition, and existing
                         countries in the region, have said they favour  production and transportation infrastructure
                         proposals for relaxing US sanctions on Vene-  will not be able to send gas from onshore fields to
                         zuela with the aim of allowing the South Amer-  the neighbouring island state without extensive
                         ican state to send its gas to Trinidad via some  rehabilitation and repairs.
                         combination of subsea pipelines and tie-backs   Meanwhile, Venezuela has little in the way of
                         connecting their adjacent offshore zones.  offshore gas infrastructure, so investors would
                           Proponents of this plan argue that the scheme  have to set it all up. These processes would be
                         would allow Venezuela to reduce associated  expensive, and they would take time.
                         gas flaring during the development of onshore   The question is whether they will take more
                         oilfields, while also enabling the development  time than Trinidad and Tobago has. Rowley
                         of offshore gas fields and increasing feedstock  recently raised the alarm about this issue, saying
                         deliveries to Atlantic LNG. It’s worth noting,  that the country’s gas output was likely to drop in
                         though, that this plan would also face significant  the second half of the decade unless the govern-
                         hurdles.                             ment found a way to gain greater influence over
                           One of these hurdles is, of course, the US  development strategy.
                         sanctions regime, which remains largely in place   “[If] we do not make decisions ... the diagram
                         even though President Donald Trump, whose  shows that by 2026, 2027, 2028 the levels of gas
                         administration did so much to intensify trade  that will be available in Trinidad and Tobago –
                         restrictions, has been out of office for more than  if no new improvements are [made] – will have
                         a year and half. Trump’s successor Joe Biden has  far-reaching consequences for government reve-
                         shown signs of being more amenable to lighten-  nues and, I dare say, for the quality of life of all the
                         ing sanctions, but this will take time – and until  people of Trinidad and Tobago,” he said, accord-
                         there is significant movement on this front, it  ing to a report from OilNOW.™








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