Page 13 - GLNG Annual Review 2021
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                         Qatari Minister of Energy Saad Al-Kaabi, who   However, the move away from Australian
                         is also QP’s president and CEO, had told IOCs in  coal has left China more dependent on Aus-
                         meetings in recent months that the company no  tralian LNG. As tensions escalated in May and
                         longer depended on them to fund new projects.  Beijing suspended all activities under the Chi-
                         The source added that Qatar was not necessar-  na-Australia Strategic Economic Dialogue, this
                         ily opposed to partnering with these compa-  has led to mounting speculation over what will
                         nies, but would be seeking terms that are more  happen to Chinese imports of Australian LNG.
                         favourable to it.                     Some believe that China relies too heavily on
                           This is in line with QP’s previous comments,  Australian LNG – which accounts for over 40%
                         suggesting it would consider undertaking the  of its imports of the fuel – to take such drastic
                         North Field expansion alone if it could not  action, but others argue that as with coal, Bei-
                         reach a favourable deal with any partners.  jing will not be deterred by the cost of any such
                         Indeed, Qatar’s LNG development has helped  moves. Indeed, Bloomberg reported in May that
                         the country to build up a sovereign wealth fund  at least two of China’s smaller LNG importers
                         holding more than $350bn in assets, putting  had been told to avoid buying new cargoes from
                         QP in a good position to move forward even  Australia. The verbal orders are reported to have
                         if it does end up going it alone. Nonetheless,  come from government officials, according to
                         reports of these talks suggest that partners –  sources familiar with the matter, and affect   For China,
                         whether Chinese or otherwise – have not yet  future LNG purchases from Australia over the
                         been ruled out.                      next year, but not already purchased or con-  meanwhile, new
                           Other comments by Al-Kaabi suggest that  tracted cargoes.               partnerships with
                         Qatar still sees IOCs as useful partners, but for   Larger Chinese importers of LNG, which
                         helping it secure access to global buyers, rather  account for a combined 90% of imports, have   Qatar could be
                         than for funding new capacity. This has led to  not been given any such guidance as yet, accord-
                         speculation that these companies could carry on  ing to separate traders cited by Bloomberg. The  timely, given the
                         participating in Qatar’s LNG industry, but with  news service suggested that this meant the
                         their level of participation reduced.  impact on LNG imports may be limited; how-  Asian country’s
                                                              ever, a further escalation of tensions that ends   worsening
                         Chinese relations                    up affecting LNG cannot be ruled out.
                         For China, meanwhile, new partnerships with   In addition, Chinese companies are already   relations with
                         Qatar could be timely, given the Asian country’s  reluctant to sign long-term LNG supply con-
                         worsening relations with Australia. The dispute  tracts with Australian exporters or invest in new   Australia.
                         between the two countries has led to various  projects since relations between the two coun-
                         unofficial bans and tariff actions by Beijing  tries worsened last year. Under these circum-
                         against Australian commodities and products.  stances, investing in LNG projects elsewhere
                         Notably, this included an informal ban on Aus-  could look all the more attractive.
                         tralian coal, imposed last year following Canber-  Sinopec has already signed a long-term sup-
                         ra’s call for an independent investigation into the  ply deal with QP earlier this year. This could be
                         origins of the coronavirus (COVID-19).  a sign of things to come.™



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