Page 4 - DMEA Week 45 2022
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DMEA                                          COMMENTARY                                               DMEA




































                                                                                                        (Image: SAOGA)
       SAPIA head comments on offshore





       opportunities, onshore supply gaps







       Tshifularo correctly notes the need for policy change but fails to consider that reforms should also

       encompass opportunities for new budget revenue streams as well as government access to production



                         HIGHER crude oil prices have put extra eco-  (the Natref plant) has experienced multiple
                         nomic pressure on many sub-Saharan Afri-  outages this year. As a result, the country has
       WHAT:             can countries this year, and South Africa is   become far more dependent on imported petro-
       The head of SAPIA says   no exception. Indeed, it has been feeling extra   leum products than it was previously.
       South Africa’s offshore   pressure because the price rises triggered by the   The reliance on costly imports is a source of
       oil reserves will not bring   Russia-Ukraine war (and the Western sanctions   frustration for many South African consumers
       retail fuel prices down.
                         that followed its outbreak) hit at a time when its   – not just the owners of generators, but drivers
                         own domestic energy system was already under   as well. The government did attempt to assuage
       WHY:              considerable stress.                 that frustration by reducing the fuel levy, which
       The country has been hit
       hard by this year’s rise in   Much of this extra stress arises from the   accounts for almost 30% of domestic prices.
       petroleum product prices.  fact that the country’s electricity infrastruc-  However, the cut was only a temporary measure.
                         ture is notoriously unreliable. With no fast   It expired on August 2, and Pretoria has ruled
       WHAT NEXT:        work-arounds available, many business and   out the idea of making permanent reductions.
       The issue ought to be   residential consumers are using generators to   The government’s refusal to bring the fuel
       addressed with more   compensate for rolling blackouts. However, the   levy down has led some observers to argue that
       flexibility in the future.  cost of the diesel and gasoline needed to keep the   conditions were likely to improve with the devel-
                         generators running has risen considerably this   opment of offshore oilfields. Proponents of this
                         year because of developments on world markets.  view believe that South Africa’s offshore zone –
                           At the same time, South African consumers   which may hold as much as 27bn barrels of oil,
                         have not been able to access domestic sources   according to estimates made by the Petroleum
                         of fuel. Three of the country’s four oil refineries   Agency of South Africa (PASA) – could become
                         (the Sapref, Engen and Cape Town plants) are   a prime source of feedstock for refineries that
                         currently off-line, while the remaining facility   can turn out fuel to supply the local market.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 45   10•November•2022
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