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FSUOGM                                 PROJECTS & COMPANIES                                         FSUOGM


       Volga Gas eyes sale of business





        RUSSIA           RUSSIA-FOCUSED explorer Volga Gas is con-  flagging production levels over the last few years.
                         tinuing talks with investors on a potential sale  It produced 2,100 barrel per day of condensate,
      The company continues   of its business, the London-listed firm said in a  565 bpd of oil, 162 bpd of LPG and 1,481 boepd
      talks with a number   stock exchange filing on September 28.  of gas in August.
      of parties on the sale,   Volga, which operates several fields in Rus-  Volga last month said it had slashed invest-
      it said.           sia’s Volga region, said in June it had received a  ment at its gas and condensate fields to “minimal
                         number of non-binding offers since launching a  levels required to maintain operational integrity,”
                         strategic review in early April.     switching instead to higher-margin oil. Earlier
                           “The company is continuing to engage in  it had intended to drill two new wells at the
                         active discussions with a number of parties  Vostochno-Makarovskoye field, but that plan
                         regarding the sale of the company, or its entire  has been “deferred for the time being.”
                         business and assets,” it said this week. “There   The focus instead will be oil. Volga has so
                         can be no certainty that an offer will be made,  far this year sunk 11 production wells, of which
                         nor as to the terms on which any offer will be  eight have been completed, and it has also
                         made.”                               enjoyed good results from three exploration and
                           Volga noted its board had the right to call off   appraisal wells.
                         the formal sales process and reject any approach   Volga plans six more exploration wells tar-
                         or terminate discussions with any parties at any  geting 14mn barrels of unrisked oil resources,
                         time.                                it said, along with three additional development
                           The junior company has been grappling with  wells. ™





                                                   NEWS IN BRIEF

                                           Transneft pipeline operator          September 26.
       RUSSIA                                                                   BCS Global Markets commented on
       Tatneft could lose $1bn on  to deliver on 2019 dividends

       tax changes                         Transneft is preparing to pay its full planned   Novatek may raise dividend
                                           dividend for 2019, despite the ongoing
       Russian regional oil major Tatneft could lose   discussion in the government on the tariffs   in 2020
       RUB80bn ($1bn) as a result of the discussed   and dividends of Russian state pipeline
       changes to oil taxation, Tass reported citing   operator, Kommersant daily reported citing   Russian independent gas producer Novatek
       the CEO of the company, Nail Maganov.  unnamed sources.                  may consider higher dividends already for
         As followed by bne IntelliNews, Tatneft is   Reportedly, Transneft's tariffs are likely   2020, the company's director of the investors
       the company most exposed to the proposed   to remain intact, despite the recent formal   relations department Alexander Nazarov said
       raising of the Mineral Extraction Tax (MET)   discussions on lowering them, according   on September 29.
       on high viscous oil and other proposed   to Kommersant, quoting Deputy Prime   “While many international companies
       reforms to the taxation of the oil sector.   Minister Yury Borisov.      reduced or even canceled dividends, we
         VTB Capital (VTBC) on September 25   Most recent reports suggested that   continued to pay them and last week
       calculated that Tatneft could lose $0.5bn   Transneft and Russian Railways (RZD) so   announced an important event, lifting
       (RUB38bn) in 2021, should the depletion   far lack a clear decision on 2019 dividends,   of non-financial guarantees on project
       and high viscosity MET reliefs, and the   despite the Finance Ministry counting on   financing of the Yamal LNG (liquefied
       export duty reliefs, be removed, as well as   compliance with the 50% of IFRS net profit   natural gas) project, which will allow us to
       the tax break for the Alshachinskoye oilfield   payout requirement.      consider higher dividends already for the
       being cancelled completely.            "The government has stated that it expects   entire 2020,” he said.
         "While our estimate is lower than that   the company to pay the entire dividend this   Novatek sees itself as an undervalued
       mentioned by management, it still makes   year, which is our base case and translates   company, Nazarov added.
       up 20% of 2021 forecasted Ebitda, on our   into a 7.7% dividend yield," VTB Capital   He also said that the company complies
       numbers, making Tatneft one of the worst   (VTBC) commented on September 25, while   with the schedule of implementation of
       affected companies," VTBC warns.    maintaining the Buy call on Transneft's shares.  the Arctic LNG-2 project, whose launch is
         The more negative internal estimate   Previously Transneft proposed paying   planned for 2023, and that products made
       might point to greater downside potential   the 2019 dividend per share (RUB11,200) in   by the fourth stage of the Yamal LNG plant,
       and could create additional pressure on   several instalments, with 50% being paid this   which is now under construction, will be
       the company’s shares (both ordinary and   year and the rest distributed in equal parts   sold on the spot market after the facility is
       preferred), which are already down 19%   over the next three years.      launched until the end of 2020.
       since the beginning of September, losing 10   Should the company pay the full   Novatek will make a final investment
       percentage point to the sector average, VTBC  dividends, it would be positive for Transneft   decision on the Obsky LNG plant in 2021, he
       notes.                              preferred shares, as part of the market   also said.
                                           expected only half to be paid this autumn,

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