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3.0 Real economy outlook







        3.1 Real economy - Czech Republic




                               3.1.1 Retail

                               The favourable pandemic situation during summer 2021 allowed the
                               Czech retail sector to operate almost without constraints and thus let
                               the Czech economy continue its path to a recovery.

                               According to the CNB, the profit margins of goods sellers and
                               service providers in Czechia are projected to fall over time as
                               households and firms gradually take the growth in real interest rates
                               into account in their decisions, which will lead to a reduction of their
                               consumption appetite and willingness to accept rapid price growth.

                               The highest growth in retail sales in Czechia in 2021 was recorded
                               in e-commerce which is, also due to the difficult epidemic situation in
                               the country, expected to continue in 2022.


                               As stated by the analysts of Trading Economics, annual retail sales
                               in Czechia are expected to reach 2.2% in 2022, followed by further
                               growth at 3.8% in 2023.












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