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2.6.4 Industrial production

                               According to the EBRD, the homogenous nature of the Slovak
                               economy exposed its weakness in 2021, as the automotive sector
                               largely relies on imports of components and chips, of which
                               shortages are being experienced globally. As a result, disruptions in
                               supply of semiconductors have hurt Slovakia´s industrial production
                               very hard, which is expected to lead to renewed job shedding and
                               could harm the recovery in household consumption.


                               FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast analysts estimate Slovak
                               industrial production to grow by 4.9% in 2022, followed by an annual
                               growth of 4.1% in 2023.

                               Increases in input prices, shipping costs, import prices and domestic
                               producer prices are translating into higher than projected growth in
                               Slovak industrial goods prices, whose strong uptrend is expected by
                               the NBS to persist in 2022.


                               The EBRD also stressed that Slovakia has the lowest vaccination
                               rate in the CEB region (45% at least partially vaccinated) which
                               creates a risk to the industrial production due to new sporadic
                               lockdowns.


























                     46 CE Outlook 2022                                           www.intellinews.com
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