Page 8 - MEOG Week 21 2022
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MEOG                                      POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG


       Saudi: Russia will remain part of OPEC+





        SAUDI ARABIA     SAUDI Arabia says it will continue to include  noting, though, that Riyadh has cited other rea-
                         Russia in the OPEC+ group and intends to con-  sons for resisting Western calls for production
                         tinue to work with Russia and other non-OPEC  hikes that do not involve Moscow or the Russian
                         oil-producing states to balance global energy  invasion of Ukraine.
                         markets, despite Western sanctions on the trade   Specifically, Saudi officials have said repeat-
                         in Russian crude.                    edly that they do not believe prices are high as a
                           Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, the kingdom’s  result of true supply shortages.
                         energy minister, told the Financial Times in   Prince Abdulaziz stressed this point in the
                         an interview published on May 22 that Riyadh  interview, saying that crude oil prices – and, con-
                         aimed to continue including Moscow in agree-  sequently, retail fuel prices – were running high
                         ments between members of the OPEC+ group.  because of inadequate global refining capacity.
                         Saudi Arabia aims “to work out an agreement   “The determinant of the market is refinery
                         with OPEC+ ... which includes Russia,” he said.  capacity” and unlocking additional processing
                           He also asserted that there was objective value  capacity, he told the newspaper. Over the last
                         in co-operation between oil producers and said  three years, he added, global refining capacity
                         that the “world should appreciate the value” of an  has gone down by around 4mn barrels per day
                         alliance such as OPEC+.              (bpd), with more than half of the total, or 2.7mn
                           The prince was speaking at a time when  bpd, lost since the outbreak of the coronavirus
                         OPEC+ is gearing up for discussions on new  (COVID-19) pandemic.
                         production quotas.                     The prince went on to say that he could not
                           The regime that the group’s members put in  predict what kind of decisions OPEC+ might
                         place in April 2020 is scheduled to expire in three  make about production quotas in its next
                         months’ time, and Saudi Arabia, like other pro-  agreement.
                         ducers, has come under considerable pressure to   The group may boost output if global mar-
                         raise output in order to bring prices down from  ket conditions warrant such a move, he said, but
                         their current level – pressure it has so far ignored.  “the havoc you see now” is substantial enough to
                           Front-month Brent crude futures were trad-  make forecasts premature. The only thing that
                         ing at more than $113 per barrel in London as of  is certain, he remarked, is that there is merit in
                         May 23. This is below the eight-year record highs  producers working together to stabilise world
                         reported in early March, shortly after the Russian  oil markets.
                         invasion of Ukraine, but not by much.  The OPEC+ group’s April 2020 agreement
                           The Financial Times described Prince Abdu-  allows for a collective 430,000 bpd rise in pro-
                         laziz’s statements as “an important sign of sup-  duction each month, with the increase divided
                         port for Russia” from Saudi Arabia. It is worth  among all member states. ™









































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