Page 10 - FSUOGM Week 36 2021
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FSUOGM                                 PIPELINES & TRANSPORT                                        FSUOGM


       Transneft could split shares




       despite sanctions




        RUSSIA           THE management of Russian state pipeline   "As a reminder, EU sanctions block Transneft
                         operator Transneft maintains its plan to execute  from placing new shares, thus the negotiations
       Analysts believe the   a share split, and the company is waiting on the  with the EU regulator. The stock reacted posi-
       split is positive for the   EU regulator hoping to reach an agreement and  tively to the call, likely on the back of the work
       company.          conduct the split in 2022, Sova Capital wrote  being done on the split," Sova commented.
                         on September 2 citing the conference call of the   Otherwise Transneft confirmed settling two
                         company.                             cases related to the Druzhba pipeline incident,
                           Previously the analysts saw the news on the  guided for load of 445mn tonnes of crude and
                         share split as positive and possibly fuelling the  38mn tonnes of oil products to be transported
                         rise in Transneft's share price.     in 2021, which is a slight increase from previ-
                           Sova Capital reiterated that a stock split could  ous 440mn tonnes, and maintained a capital
                         be positive for Transneft, but expects the issue to  expenditure guidance of RUB232bn ($3.18bn)
                         become topical only next year, since few details  unchanged.
                         have been provided, while reiterating a Buy call   In a separate report Kommersant daily
                         on the company's shares.             claimed that Transneft could spend RUB38bn
                           In 2017 reports claimed that the Russian  until 2025 on digital transformation. Manage-
                         Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) was pushing for  ment confirmed this would be in addition to
                         a 100:1 preferred share split, to attract new insti-  the current capital spending, without providing
                         tutional and retail investors.       more details. ™


                                                        POLICY


       OPEC+ unlikely to heed US




       calls for output hike





        OPEC             THE OPEC+ group is unlikely to make any  change of policy was unlikely.
                         changes to its oil output policy when mem-  However, Kuwaiti Oil Minister Moham-
       At this rate, it will take   bers meet this week, according to numerous  mad Al-Fares caused confusion when he
       nearly 15 months for   delegates.                      said on August 29: “The markets are slowing.
       OPEC+ to restore    If correct, this will give OPEC+ a total com-  Since [coronavirus] COVID-19 has begun its
       production to the pre-  bined production target of 37.14mn barrels per  fourth wave in some areas, we must be care-
       pandemic level.   day during September, up from the 36.74mn bpd  ful and reconsider this increase. There may
                         August target. The increase in output follows the  be a halt to the 400,000 (bpd) increase,” only
                         agreement reached in July to collectively ease  later to clarify that Kuwait would support
                         production cuts by 400,000 bpd each month  any decision based on “consensus” among
                         from August and push back the current April  OPEC+ members.
                         2022 end date until the end of the year.  “As always, the State of Kuwait supports
                           At this rate, it will take nearly 15 months for  the consensus within the OPEC+ group, as all
                         OPEC+ to increase production by the 5.8mn  options are explored, and confirms that no
                         bpd withheld under the agreement reached in  decisions have been reached yet with regards to
                         early 2020 as the group scrambled to balance the  the forthcoming meetings on September 1,” he
                         market.                              added.
                           In August, the US government urged OPEC   When Fares was asked about US efforts to
                         and its allies to ramp up output to slow rising  lobby for a production increase, he said: “There
                         gasoline prices, which have been viewed as pos-  are meetings with OPEC countries, especially
                         ing a challenge to economic recovery.  the Gulf Cooperation Council [GCC] coun-
                           OPEC+ delegates were quoted by several  tries, and so far there are different views on how
                         media outlets including Reuters as saying that a  to handle this issue.” ™





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