Page 7 - AfrOil Week 50 2022
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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         This means large swaths of Africa are forced to   long run.”
                         rely almost exclusively on food imports.   Biden must have finally felt the pressure to
                           Russia’s war on Ukraine, indeed, has made   convene a new summit, perhaps spurred by the
                         things worse by stripping the continent of two   urgent need to convince African countries to
                         pivotal suppliers of staple crops and fertiliser.   support US sanctions against Russia (and coun-
                         The “Black Sea Initiative” brokered by the UN   ter the growing influence of China).
                         last summer only partially restored such trade,   To further sweeten the pot, ahead of the his-
                         which is still very far from the pre-war levels.  toric summit, the White House pledged $55bn
                           Against this backdrop, the Biden administra-  in economic, health and security support for
                         tion is trying to convince African countries that   Africa over the next three years “across a wide
                         its aid and development plan is the most reliable   range of sectors to tackle the core challenges of
                         in the long term, not least to curry their favour   our time,” as National Security Advisor Jake Sul-
                         in support of the Ukrainian cause.   livan put it.
                           African nations have proved reluctant to vote
                         for US-led resolutions against Russia in the UN.   Major challenges
                         This stance transcends post-colonial resentment   Africa’s challenges are numerous and pressing:
                         towards the Global North, and rather points to   food insecurity, health, climate change and mili-
                         Africa’s yearning for a multipolar world, where   tary conflicts are first on the summit’s discussion
                         Russia and China – countries that invested con-  board. On the business side, debates at the sum-
                         siderable resources in the continent over the last   mit will touch on the economic hurdles facing
                         decade – deserve due recognition.    investors on the continent, such as limited access
                           African leaders have repeatedly made it clear   to capital, high cost of financing and legal and
                         that the Russia-Ukraine war must end, come   regulatory bottlenecks.         In terms of
                         what may, preferably with a diplomatic solution   Human rights don’t appear high on the
                         – not necessarily one that respects Ukraine’s ter-  agenda, though movement on that score yet may   business
                         ritorial integrity, as the West wishes.  come, perhaps due to the White House’s desire   potential, it
                                                              to keep thorny topics at bay while ensuring the
                         AGOA outcomes                        $55bn pledged remain in the headlines of Afri-  should be
                         Washington’s first organic initiative for Africa   can media.
                         was called AGOA (African Growth and Oppor-  The US is fiercely competing for influence   self-evident
                         tunity Act) and was enacted in 2000 by former   with China and Russia. What sets it apart from
                         President Clinton.                   its rivals – and could thus be its crucial leverage   that Africa
                           Officially, that plan is still in place today,   – is its ability to foster public-private partner-  cannot be
                         due to expire in 2025. However, it hasn’t been   ships between American and African economic
                         updated in years, and African nations have   actors. This approach should walk in lockstep   ignored
                         expressed mixed feelings while assessing the   with the African Union’s “Agenda 2063” plans,
                         plan’s results.                      helping to meet the continent’s ambitious targets
                           The political instability that plagued America   concerning infrastructure, connectivity and a
                         in recent years further harmed Africa’s trust in   more balanced energy policy leaning towards
                         the US; President Trump de facto put AGOA on   the green transition.
                         hold during his tenure, pursuing only a few sep-  “It’s really about focusing US government
                         arate trade deals with selected African countries,   resources to support the private sector, which
                         namely Kenya in 2020.                is the driver of transformation, of change, of
                           Such an attitude – coherent with then-Presi-  trade, of being very forward-leaning,” said
                         dent Trump’s “America First” mantra – irritated   Camilla Richardson, Deputy Assistant Secretary
                         many governments in the region, which felt   for the Middle East and Africa, Department of
                         abandoned by the US while China racked up   Commerce.
                         investments – becoming the continent’s larg-  America’s committed support for AfCFTA
                         est trading partner – and Russia-backed mili-  (African Continental Free Trade Area), the
                         tias successfully intervened in Mali (where the   world’s largest free trade area by population that
                         French military left all of a sudden) and Libya   entered into force in January 2021, has to be
                         against radical Islamists.           viewed in this perspective. The US is looking at
                           Obama (with Biden at his side) timidly tried   all the “ways that we can use AGOA to support
                         to restore ties with the continent, convening   the development of the free trade area, which
                         the first US-Africa summit in 2014. However,   holds so much promise for the continent”, as
                         until today no news followed on the American   Molly Phee, assistant secretary of the Bureau of
                         side, while Russia, China and even the EU kept   African affairs, put it.
                         organising similar conferences on a much more   The stakes are high, and so must be the Afri-
                         regular basis.                       can representatives’ expectations.
                           Judd Devermont, senior director for African   The outcome of the summit may not be fully
                         affairs at the National Security Council (NSC),   grasped for weeks or months to come, but one
                         said: “The gap between 2014 and 2022 certainly   thing is already clear: America has woken up.
                         is regrettable. And so we’ve had, I think, a num-  Biden has realised it’s time to start dealing with
                         ber of conversations with our partners and with   African countries on the basis of mutual respect
                         counterparts in our own government about first   and shared values, rather than with the old-
                         and foremost making sure that whatever comes   school – and counterproductive – paternalistic
                         out of this summit is going to stay here for the   approach. ™



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