Page 5 - LatAmOil Week 26 2021
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LatAmOil                                     COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil


                         What makes it notable is the fact that it was   the oil industry, which has been significantly
                         issued at a time when the Venezuelan political   affected by the US sanctions regime. The trade
                         climate appears to be shifting in what US offi-  restrictions imposed on PdVSA in early 2019
                         cials might describe as the proper direction.  have curtailed the country’s ability to explore,
                           More specifically, the statement came out   develop and export its oil resources by restrict-
                         shortly before Venezuelan President Nicolas   ing access to investors, financiers, service pro-
                         Maduro, whose alleged use of fraudulent tactics   viders, trading partners and suppliers of the
                         to secure re-election in 2018 prompted the US   parts and equipment needed to maintain and
                         to tighten sanctions and target PdVSA in early   repair its production, transportation, processing
                         2019, reached out to US President Joe Biden in   and distribution facilities.
                         an interview with Bloomberg. In the interview,   As such, lifting the sanctions would allow the
                         he called on Biden to normalise diplomatic rela-  NOC to reverse the decline in oil output that has
                         tions and lift trade restrictions – and he did so   deprived the country of revenue and also allevi-
                         relatively cordially, without spending the entire   ate the petroleum product shortages that have
                         conversation fulminating about US imperialism   compounded the misery of Venezuelan citizens.   Maduro’s
                         and treachery.                       Moreover, it might also entice international oil   administration is
                           The statement also came out shortly before   companies (IOCs) to return to the country after
                         Venezuela’s state-run electoral commission   years of mostly avoiding it so as not to fall foul of   not exactly giving
                         revealed that the country’s main opposition   the US sanctions regime.
                         group,  the  Democratic  Unity  Roundtable                                 up its hold on
                         (MUD) bloc, would be permitted to participate   Loading the dice
                         in the elections scheduled to take place later this   It’s also important to note, though, that Maduro’s   power just yet
                         year. MUD is one of 20 political parties that have   administration is not exactly giving up its hold
                         been authorised to put candidates forth for the   on power just yet.
                         vote in November, representatives of the com-  Instead, Caracas is taking steps to load the
                         mission stated.                      dice in its favour. For example, it is making sure
                           They also noted that the election would be   that the president’s allies form a majority on
                         the first one certified by the body’s new electoral   the new electoral board. It is also maintaining
                         board, in which two of the five seats will be filled   rules that will prevent more than a dozen prom-
                         by members of the opposition.        inent members of MUD – including Henrique
                                                              Capriles, who served as the bloc’s candidate
                         Genuine signs of change              in the presidential election of 2012, and Juan
                         It seems, then, that there are genuine signs of   Guaido, the opposition leader who was named
                         change in Venezuela’s political climate  interim president in early 2019 amidst com-
                           The EU, at least, seems to be taking these   plaints that Maduro had rigged the 2018 vote –
                         signs seriously. Officials in Brussels said recently   from running in any election for public office for
                         that they intended to send a technical mission   at least another decade.
                         to Venezuela to determine whether the circum-  As such, the US (along with Canada and
                         stances warrant assembling an electoral obser-  the EU) ought to consider the matter carefully
                         vation team to monitor the vote in November.   before coming to any conclusions about the out-
                         Bloomberg commented earlier this week that   come of the November elections. They have time
                         this move was “an important step toward legiti-  to do so, since there are more than four months
                         mising the election.”                left until the vote, and they should spend that
                           If so, it would also represent an important   time paying close attention to what the Maduro
                         step towards normalisation of conditions in   administration does, as well as what it says. ™




























                                                                   Venezuelan ballot box (Photo: LA Progressive)



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