Page 9 - AsianOil Week 06 2022
P. 9

AsianOil                                      SOUTH ASIA                                            AsianOil


       Pakistan moves to




       eliminate goods



       and services on



       petroleum to help




       keep prices low





        POLICY           THE government of Pakistan has eliminated its
                         goods and services tax on all petroleum products
                         for the time being in a bid to help the South Asian
                         country keep gasoline prices as low as possible.
                           The decision was taken earlier in the week,
                         in conjunction with the administration of Paki-
                         stani Prime Minister Imran Khan maintaining
                         a degree of control over the nation’s petroleum
                         development levy (PDL), essentially continuing
                         a November agreement with the International
                         Monetary Fund (IMF) to help stabilise the coun-
                         try’s economy and permit the payback of loans.
                           Fuel prices in Pakistan hit an all-time high in   The vast majority of products imported are
                         late 2021, reaching PKR146 ($0.84) per litre, just  already refined given Pakistan’s limited domestic
                         as the nation was coming under increasing pres-  refinery capacity.
                         sure from the IMF to raise PKR600bn ($3.45bn)   In the past year, and throughout 2021, in large
                         by using the PDL to help repay outstanding  part as a result of increasing supply issues and
                         loans, although this figure was later revised  prices with the ongoing oil crunch, Islamabad
                         downwards following negotiations between the  opted for an uptick in its imports as the coun-
                         IMF and Pakistani officials to PKR365bn.  try looked to get industry back on track in the
                           It is thought, however, that despite govern-  wake of a third devastating wave of coronavirus
                         ment efforts, the latest attempts to maintain  (COVID-19) infections.
                         limits on petroleum prices rising are starting to   This move saw a 52% increase in fuel oil
       Islamabad opted   exasperate the local population.     imports to around 785,000 tonnes – spread
                           Comparatively speaking, the majority of fuel  across the first nine months of the year – a jump
        for an uptick in   oils in Pakistan remain much cheaper than in  of over half compared to the 12 months of 2020,
       its imports as the   neighbouring India, where prices are around  when COVID-19 peaked.
                                                                Some reports also indicate that Pakistan sub-
                         60% higher, with domestic gas prices almost
       country looked to   80% higher.                        sequently added in the region of 250,000 tonnes
                                                              to its gasoline and gasoil reserves over the course
                           Even with the IMF payback demands hin-
       get industry back   dering Pakistani efforts to keep prices on most  of the past year, and has started to upgrade its
                         oil products low, the figures posted at gasoline  ageing storage infrastructure.
           on track.     stations and in stores are still some of the lowest   As a result, as Islamabad continues to hold
                         in the region.                       off IMF calls for repayment of loans on the one
                           In comparing prices across a range of fuel  hand, and cope with oil prices looking ever
                         products, only Sri Lanka and Vietnam in the  more likely to hit the $100 per barrel mark on
                         wider region currently outdo Pakistan in die-  the other, domestic trade and financial analysts
                         sel prices, with fellow subcontinent neighbours  are already looking back to the highs of 2011-
                         India and Bangladesh much higher by compar-  13, with some talk of fuel oil rationing starting to
                         ison, respectively 73% and 30% higher for gaso-  make media headlines.
                         line, and 48% and 13% higher for diesel.  How this will be received or implemented
                           At present Islamabad imports various forms  remains to be seen, although with US dol-
                         of fuels from across the Middle East, primarily  lar-linked exchange rates in Pakistan currently
                         the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Saudi Ara-  much higher than they were a decade ago, the
                         bia, in addition to lesser amounts from South  same analysts are leaning towards things getting
                         Africa.                              worse before they get better.™



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