Page 10 - GLNG Week 23
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG














































                         equity acquisition in Driftwood Holdings.  stick with contracts – both sides – and we look
                           Tellurian and Petronet had envisioned  for additional new contacts and volumes to com-
                         finalising the transaction by March 31, but  ply with requirements from India.”
                         after executives from the US company visited   Doha’s bargain position may have weakened
                         India in February the deadline was pushed  enough that New Delhi may be willing to try
                         back to May 31. Tellurian spokesperson Joi  again. Qatari gas cost an estimated $8.5-9 per
                         Lecznar said last week that while the agree-  mmBtu ($235.11-248.94 per 1,000 cubic metres)
                         ment had lapsed, the company was still in talks  when oil was $60-70 per barrel. The average spot
                         with Petronet and other possible offtakers for  price for July delivery into East Asia, meanwhile,
                         the LNG terminal.                    was estimated at $2.10 per mmBtu ($58.09 per
                           The lapsing of the deal is anticipated to delay  1,000 cubic metres) on June 5.
                         an FID on the export project, given that Tellurian   The IEA has said India and China’s expand-
                         has only managed to finalise one supply deal –  ing gas consumption will help support a recov-
                         Total agreed in July 2019 to buy 1mn tpy as well  ery in global demand in the coming years. India   India has a
                         as a $500mn investment in Driftwood Holdings.  is expected to close in on South Korea’s position
                           The Driftwood project includes gas produc-  as the world’s third-largest importer of LNG by   history of seeking
                         tion, gathering, processing and transportation  2023, while China will overtake Japan as the   better supply
                         facilities, along with the 27.6mn tpy Driftwood  global leader.
                         LNG export facility that will be located near Lake   Singh told Platts that while the South Asian   deals while the
                         Charles, Louisiana.                  giant’s gas demand had fallen from a pre-
                                                              COVID-19 high of 160mn cubic metres per day   energy market
                         What next?                           to 110 mcm during the lockdown, it had already
                         India has a history of seeking better supply deals  recovered to 145 mcm per day and it would not   is experiencing
                         while the energy market is experiencing price  be long before the lost ground had been regained.   price pains.
                         pains. New Delhi managed to convince the  He added that LNG imports, which shrank 40%
                         Qatari government in 2015 to halve the cost of  to 1.5mn tonnes in May, would pick up over the
                         its long-term gas supplies. In exchange, India  next six months.
                         agreed to raise its purchases from 7.5mn tpy to   Given that Qatar is embarking on a major
                         8.5mn tpy. India then moved on to a successful  expansion of its LNG export capacity and the
                         renegotiation of long-term supply contracts with  demand outlook is plagued by uncertainty
                         Australia and Russia.                – the biggest threat remains a second wave of
                           New Delhi tried in January to revisit its sup-  COVID-19 infections – it would not be surpris-
                         ply deal with Qatar once more, but its efforts fell  ing to hear in the coming months that Indian
                         flat, with Energy Minister Saad Sherida al-Kaabi  buyers had indeed managed to secure more
                         saying: “We are not renegotiating contracts, we  favourable term contracts.™



       P10                                      www. NEWSBASE .com                           Week 23   12•June•2020
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