Page 6 - DMEA Week 39 2022
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DMEA                                      SECURITY & POLICY                                            DMEA



       Iranian researcher voices doubts




       about gas swap deal with Russia






           MIDDLE EAST   MORTEZA Behruzifar, a researcher at Iran’s   not be able to support the desired increase in
                         Institute for International Energy Studies (IIES),   shipments to Oman and Pakistan via the con-
                         has said he does not expect the signing of a nat-  struction of new production facilities, he said.
                         ural gas swap agreement between Tehran and   “[We] don’t have an LNG plant. Russia
                         Moscow to bear much fruit.           doesn’t have the technology either. All the units
                           Behruzifar noted in an interview with ILNA   that are currently in operation [in Russia] are
                         that Iran’s government has been talking up the   American and European,” he remarked. “So far,
                         potential financial benefits of co-operation with   Russia has not been able to set up even a small
                         Russia, which is not party to the US-led sanc-  unit of its own, so [we can’t] expect it to do it
                         tions regime that seeks to discourage invest-  for us.”
                         ment in the Iranian oil and gas sector. Now that   Iranian news agencies reported earlier this
                         Russia too has been hit with US sanctions, Iran   month that Tehran and Moscow were prepar-
                         has attempted to step up co-operation and has   ing to implement a previously signed gas swap
                         signed documents designed to lay the ground-  agreement. The deal calls for Russia to use pipe-
                         work for gas swaps that would facilitate Russian   lines through Azerbaijan to deliver 9mn cubic
                         LNG exports to Oman and Pakistan via south-  metres per day of gas to Iran for use in its own
                         ern Iranian ports, he said.          domestic market. In exchange, Iran will export
                           These overtures are well intentioned but   the equivalent of 6 mcm per day of gas on Rus-
                         not likely to yield much in the way of concrete   sia’s behalf in the form of LNG from its own
                         results, he argued. He said he was not at all cer-  southern ports and also boost pipeline deliveries
                         tain that Moscow was willing to work closely   of gas to Iraq and Turkey. ™
                         with Tehran in a way that benefited the Iranian
                         gas sector. Indeed, Russia appears to view Iran
                         as a rival rather than a partner, especially since
                         both have been targeting European gas markets,
                         he commented.
                           Moreover, he continued, even before the
                         US government imposed sanctions on Russia’s
                         oil and gas sector in response to the conflict in
                         Ukraine, Russia did not invest “a single rial” in
                         Iran. Instead, it effectively abided by US trade
                         restrictions, he said.
                           Behruzifar went on to assert that co-opera-
                         tion with Russia would not bring many benefits
                         to the Iranian gas sector. Russia does not have
                         any home-grown gas liquefaction technologies
                         and has had to depend on foreign partners for
                         the construction of all its LNG plants, so it will   Russian and Iranian officials discussed the swap in Tehran in August (Photo: Shana)


       Iranian oil workers threaten to strike




       if crackdown on protests is not ended






           MIDDLE EAST   IRANIAN oil industry contract workers have   Such a strike could cripple an essential sec-
                         warned the government that they will strike if it   tor of the Iranian economy, as oil is the gov-
                         does not end its crackdown on protesters, who   ernment’s largest source of income. The Iran
                         have been demonstrating against Iran’s ruling   Human Rights Organisation said on September
                         regime for nearly two weeks in scores of towns   27 that at least 76 people had been killed in the
                         and cities, Radio Farda has reported.  ongoing protests.



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 39   29•September•2022
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