Page 5 - LatAmOil Week 44 2020
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LatAmOil                                     COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil


                         Two years ago, he explained, ExxonMobil and   He also noted that the break-even price for
                         the other shareholders estimated Stabroek’s   the three sections of Stabroek that have been
                         reserves at around 4bn boe, large enough to sup-  green-lighted for development was $25-35 per
                         port the deployment of five floating production,   barrel of Brent crude. These fields are “world-
                         storage and off-loading (FPSO) vessels capable   class by any measure,” he remarked.
                         of extracting up to 750,000 barrels per day (bpd).
                         But now that the estimate is higher, they may   Gas-to-power talks
                         deploy as many as 10 FPSOs in all, he said.  The CEO was speaking the day before Guya-
                           Under these circumstances, “we wanted   nese government officials revealed that they
                                                                Vice-President Bharrat Jagdeo told the press  “
                         people to have an update on potential number   were in negotiations with ExxonMobil and the
                         of ships we could be running,” Hess said. He did   other members of the Stabroek consortium on
                         not say exactly how the new resource estimate   the price of associated gas that will be used for
                         had affected production forecasts, but he did   power generation.         ExxonMobil and
                         state that the partners expected to see Stabroek’s
                         production levels reach 750,000 bpd in 2026.  that the negotiations concerned future deliveries   its partners
                                                              of gas from the Liza field to a 300-MW thermal   expect to see
                         Production outlook                   power plant (TPP) that will be built onshore in
                         It is not yet clear exactly how they will reach that   Guyana. He did not divulge any details of the   Stabroek’s oil
                         milestone.                           pricing discussions, but he did say that the TPP
                           Thus far, ExxonMobil has only made final   would be used to generate electricity for indus- production levels
                         investment decisions (FIDs) on three sections   trial facilities. The project is certain to benefit the
                         of the block – Liza-1, which came on stream in   country, as it will make more electricity available  reach 750,000
                         December 2019; Liza-2, which is due to begin   at lower prices, he commented.  bpd in 2026
                         production in early 2022, and Payara, which will   According to Natural Resources Minister
                         achieve first oil sometime in 2024. The group is   Vickram Bharrat, Guyana’s government hopes
                         using the Liza Destiny FPSO to develop Liza-1,   to start work on the gas-to-power scheme in
                         which is currently yielding around 100,000 bpd   the near future. ExxonMobil and its partners
                         and will see output peak at 120,000 bpd, and   will pump associated gas from Liza to shore via
                         it will deploy two more FPSOs at Liza-2 and   a 160-km pipeline, and officials in Georgetown
                         Payara, which will peak at 220,000 bpd each.  aim to decide where this link will make landfall
                           Together, these three vessels will be able to   before the end of the year, he said. Work on the
                         extract 560,000 bpd. As such, the partners will   pipeline can then begin in 2021, he added, with-
                         need to bring another section of the block online   out saying when construction might be finished.
                         to reach their goal of 750,000 bpd by 2026. Hess   Bharrat went on to say that the gas-to-power
                         did not indicate which section might be chosen,   (GTP) project was being overseen by a gov-
                         but he did mention that the next exploration   ernment commission. This body “will decide
                         drilling target at Stabroek was the Hassa field.   whether we will do a private/public partnership
                         The partners are on track to spud the Hassa-1   (PPP) or [a] build-own-operate-and-transfer
                         well in late December and hope to complete it in   (BOOT) arrangement, or whether government
                         the first quarter of 2021, he said.  will fund it totally,” he stated.



































                                                         Liza Destiny FPSO The president visited northern Mexico at the weekend (Photo: ExxonMobil)



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