Page 7 - GLNG Week 31 2021
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GLNG                                         COMMENTARY                                               GLNG
































                         contributed the remaining 95%.       fields in the third quarter of last year.
                           Like many figures in industry, the CFO took   Novatek’s earnings also benefitted from
                         issue with the International Energy Agency  a fall in capital expenditure to RUB47.4bn
                         (IEA)’s recent net-zero 2050 roadmap report.  from RUB61.3bn. Free cash flow (FCF) came
                         Among its conclusions, the report stated that if  in  strong  at  RUB104bn,  up  from  negative
                         the world continues on its pathway towards net-  RUB57bn a year earlier.
                         zero emissions by the middle of the century, no   “We achieved a very good set of financial and
                         further investment in oil and gas production is  operational results in Q2 2021 and H1 2021
                         needed.                              because of a strong commodity pricing envi-
                           The report “opened some serious debates on  ronment and an extended cold winter season,
                         the credibility of its content and the cost to soci-  as well as growth in sales volumes both domes-
                         ety to make such a radical shift to renewables,”  tically and internationally,” Gyetvay explained.
                         Gyetvay said.                        “Natural gas and crude oil benchmarks recov-
                           Despite its new environmental initiatives,  ered significantly from their pandemic-driven
                         Novatek has no plans to scale back production.  lows and look poised to remain relatively strong
                         Quite the opposite, it aims to ramp up its LNG  throughout the remainder of 2021.”
                         supply to up to 70mn tonnes per year by 2030,   The CFO said Novatek’s capital expenditure
                         up from 20mn tpy at present.         this year was still on track to hit RUB200bn,
                           “We clearly understand the challenges ahead  and the company is also predicting a 3% growth
                         of us and the need to focus on the energy tran-  in full-year gas output and a 1% increase in oil
                         sition, but we don’t fully subscribe to some of  production.
                         the main points raised in the special report,”   LNG spot prices surged this year as the mar-
                         Gyetvay said. “As a large global gas producer, we  ket tightened, and Novatek did its best to capital-
                         don’t see a future world where natural gas does  ise on this trend by selling 36% of Yamal LNG’s  Annual schedules
                         not play a key role in the decarbonisation pro-  volumes on the spot market, while the rest was
                         cess, or conversely, a world where 90% of future  delivered under long-term contracts, Gyetvay   already agreed
                         electricity generation is powered by renewables  said. But annual schedules already agreed with   with customers
                         as noted in the report.”             customers and various other factors restricted
                                                              how much spot LNG it could market.   and various other
                         Strong numbers                        Novatek also noted that the fourth 0.9mn
                         Like many oil and gas producers, Novatek  tpy train of its Yamal LNG plant had produced  factors restricted
                         enjoyed strong numbers in the second quar-  38,000 tonnes of LNG since its launch in June,
                         ter, with its profit doubling year on year to  when the company tested 80% of its capacity. It   how much spot
                         RUB99.3bn ($1.35bn), primarily on the back of  aims to raise capacity utilisation to 100% in the   LNG it could
                         higher gas prices.                   autumn, and monitor the unit’s Arctic Cascade
                           The company’s revenues surged to  over the next 12-18 months to see how it per-  market.
                         RUB264.5bn in the three months ending June  forms. The 19.8mn tpy Arctic LNG-2 project is
                         30, from RUB143.9bn a year earlier, while  45% complete, Gyetvay said.
                         EBITDA more than doubled to RUB163.2bn   Novatek had been hoping to grow its oil pro-
                         from RUB71.3bn. Besides bullish prices,  duction sooner but was prevented from doing
                         Novatek also gained from a growth in its  so because of OPEC+ restrictions. As those
                         hydrocarbon production to 1.72mn barrels of  restrictions are easing, though, plans to launch
                         oil equivalent per day in the period, compared  the Kharbeyskoye oilfield in early 2023 are back
                         with 1.6mn boepd in Q2 2020. This was mainly  on track. The field is expected to flow 1mn tpy
                         thanks to the launch of the North-Russkoye  (20,000 barrels per day) of oil at full capacity.™



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