Page 12 - FSUOGM Week 35 2020
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FSUOGM                                         INVESTMENT                                           FSUOGM


       Russian-Uzbek JV to oversee MTO project





        UZBEKISTAN       A Russian-Uzbek joint venture is taking charge  partners including IHS Markit, Nexant and
                         of a 500,000 tonne per year methanol-to-olefins  Amec Foster Wheeler have conducted market-
       A chemical complex   (MTO) project in Uzbekistan.      ing analysis and feasibility studies.
       of this size has no   Jizzakh Petroleum, a partnership between   The selection of a technology licensor is
       comparison in the CIS   Uzbekistan’s national oil company Uzbekneft-  currently underway, and after that front-end
       region, according to   egaz and Gas Project Development Central Asia,  engineering design (FEED) work can begin.
       Jizzakh Petroleum.  an affiliate of Russia’s Gazprom, is now a major  The plants’ end-product olefins derivatives are
                         investor in the plan, in line with a decision by  expected to include low-density polyethylene
                         Uzbekistan’s cabinet of ministers.   (LDPE), ethylene-vinyl acetate (EVA), polyeth-
                           “A chemical complex of such a scale and tech-  ylene terephthalate (PET), polypropylene (PP).
                         nical capabilities has no comparison in the CIS   The project’s estimated cost is $2.8bn.
                         region,” Jizzakh Petroleum said in a statement,   Uzbekistan has some 1.2 trillion cubic metres
                         noting the plant would be built in the Bukhara  in proven reserves, according to BP, but it has
                         region and run on 1.5bn cubic metres per year of  been unable to capitalise fully on this wealth
                         natural gas feedstock. It will enable Uzbekistan to  because of a lack of export markets. The only
                         convert its gas into export-oriented high-value  outside customers for its gas are Russia, which
                         products.                            has much larger reserves of its own, and China,
                           Its completion will also help Uzbekistan  which uses its many import options as leverage
                         diversify its economy, develop textile, chemical  to bargain down prices.
                         and parapharmaceutical industries and reduce   Uzbekistan’s strategy is therefore to convert as
                         imports, Jizzakh said.               much gas as it can domestically into higher-value
                           “We aspire to create a world-class chemical  products that can be exported to markets further
                         company making great products for society, and  afield, while also curb reliance on imports in key
                         this project is fully aligned with our vision,” it  industry sectors. Another project it is advancing
                         said.                                is a gas-to-liquids (GTL) plant, which will turn
                           Preparatory work on the project has been  gas into motor fuels for domestic use. Its launch
                         completed, and consulting and technical  is expected in early 2021. ™

                                                   PERFORMANCE

      KMG earnings halve in H1





        KAZAKHSTAN       CORE earnings at Kazakhstan’s national oil   A 6.7% weakening of the Kazakh tenge against
                         company (NOC) KazMunayGas (KMG) almost  the US dollar helped cushion the blow of low oil
       The weaker        halved in the second quarter as weak prices and  prices on its revenues. But it also led to the compa-
       performance was the   OPEC+ restrictions took their toll on revenues.  ny’s net debt increasing by 10% to KZT2.59 trillion
       result of lower prices   KMG’s EBITDA was at KZT552bn ($1.36bn)  as foreign-denominated loans were revalued.
       and OPEC+ cuts.   for the six months, down 46.6% year on year,   KMG also booked $557mn in impairment
                         while net profit shrank to just KZT21bn, com-  charges at its assets during the first half, includ-
                         pared with KZT622bn a year earlier.  ing a $393mn charge at its Romania-based sub-
                           The average for dated Brent oil was $40.07  sidiary KMG International. It also took on a
                         per barrel during the period, KMG said, ver-  $149mn charge at its Embamunaigas upstream
                         sus $65.95 in the first half of 2019. Oil prices  unit in Kazakhstan.
                         went into free fall in April, as the coronavirus   KMG is Kazakhstan’s biggest oil producer,
                         (COVID-19) pandemic triggered a collapse in  but the bulk of its output comes from the Tengiz,
                         global fuel demand.                  Kashagan and Karachaganak oilfields, where it is
                           KMG also produced 3.1% less oil and gas  partnered with international oil companies (IOCs).
                         condensate in the six months, or 11.345mn   On a national level, Kazakhstan expects oil
                         tonnes (457,000 barrels per day (bpd)). Kazakh-  output to decline by 5.8% in 2020 to 85.2mn
                         stan began imposing record cuts to production  tonnes (1.71mn bpd) because of OPEC+ cuts,
                         in May under a deal with other OPEC+ produc-  following several years of growth.
                         ers aimed at rebalancing the market.   The goal for 2021 is 86mn tonnes, Kazakh
                           Oil runs at KMG’s refineries in Kazakhstan  Economy Minister Ruslan Dalenov said on
                         and Romania were down 17.1% at 8.29mn  August 24 while presenting the country’s draft
                         tonnes (334,000 bpd). And the company also  2021-2023 budget plan. Output is seen rising to
                         saw weaker gas sales to China.       89.6mn tonnes in 2022 and 100.8mn tonnes in
                           Overall, KMG's revenues were down 33.8%  2023. A lot will depend on OPEC+ policy. The oil
                         at KZT2.25 trillion, while its free cash flow  cartel’s current plan is to bring back production
                         (FCF) was negative KZT5bn, from a positive  in phases, ending cuts completely at the end of
                         KZT141bn a year earlier.             April 2022. ™

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