Page 6 - FSUOGM Week 14 2021
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FSUOGM                                         INVESTMENT                                           FSUOGM


       Mikhelson sheds 12.5% stake in




       Sibur to insurer




        RUSSIA           RUSSIAN billionaire Leonid Mikhelson, the   Other Sibur shareholders include billion-
                         largest shareholder in Russian petrochemicals  aire Gennady Timchenko with 17%, Chinese
       The sales come after   group Sibur, has sold a 12.5% stake in the com-  entities Sinopec and Silk Road Fund with 10%
       Sibur jacked up its   pany to the country’s top insurance provider  each, businessman Kirill Shamalov with 3.9%
       dividend payments.  SOGAZ.                             and the petrochemical firm’s current and former
                           Mikhelson shed an initial 6.25% interest  management with 10.6%. Both Timchenko and
                         in Sibur in late March and has now trans-  Shamalov have close ties with Russian President
                         ferred a further 6.25%, the Moscow-based  Vladimir Putin. The latter, understood to be the
                         RBC newspaper reported on April 3 citing  ex-son-in-law of the president, reportedly paid
                         data from SPARK. The businessman, who is  only $100 for a 3.8% interest in Sibur, according
                         also a major investor and CEO of independ-  to a recent investigation.
                         ent gas supplier Novatek, has retained a 36%   Sibur earned a flat net profit of RUB93bn
                         position in Sibur.                   ($1.3bn) in 2020, as the impact of the extra sup-
                           Kommersant estimated in late March that  ply from Zapsibneftekhim was offset by weaker
                         SOGAZ could have paid over $1bn for the ini-  prices. EBITDA grew 5.4% to RUB179bn.
                         tial 6.25% in Sibur. The deals come after Sibur’s   The company’s owners have had on-again,
                         board of directors pledged on March 10 to  off-again plans to hold an initial public offering
                         increase the minimum share of company profits  (IPO) for years. Sibur previously said the place-
                         paid out in dividends from 35 to 50%. The board  ment would take place once Zapsibneftekhim
                         said the move was justified given increased cash  had reached full capacity, which occurred in
                         flow and a drop in Sibur’s debt burden, thanks to  December. But it is yet to confirm the plan or
                         the recent launch of production at the Zapsib-  give a timeframe for the IPO.
                         neftekhim project.                     “Now is not the worst time” for the offering,
                           Sibur is set to pay out RUB28.7bn ($380mn)  Mikhelson said in late Februatry, according to
                         in dividends from its profits in 2020.  the RIA news agency. ™





       Surgutnefregaz shares see spike





        RUSSIA           THE ordinary shares of Russian oil major Sur-  could dismantle its treasury holdings also caused
                         gutneftegas (SurgutNG) are trading at unusually  a temporary rally of its shares.
       The surge raises the   elevated volumes on no appreciable news flows,   Other reasons could be getting better value
       question of what   BCS Global Markets analysts wrote on April 3,  for shareholders out of the company’s $48bn
       investors might be   noting that this raises the question of what inves-  ‘cash pile’ (special dividend, or reallocating net
       anticipating.     tors might be anticipating.          cash position into investments earning), as well
                           As reported by bne IntelliNews, BCS GM  as equalisation of the ordinary dividend with
                         analysts argued last week that the falling ruble is  that of the preferred shares.
                         supporting the chances that SurgutNG will post   "Note that equalisation of the 2020 dividend
                         a two-year dividend yield of about 30% on its  would mean the ord would receive the 17-18%
                         preferred shares.                    dividend yield we currently expect to be paid to
                           While trading in ordinary shares was up, the  the pref, far higher than typical 2% yield we are
                         volume of transactions with preferred shares  expecting the ord to earn," BCS GM comments.
                         was down substantially (60%) from normal as   But BCS GM continues to see these scenarios
                         Europe and the US headed into the long Easter  as unlikely and believes that preferred shares of
                         weekend.                             SurgutNG still suggest the largest excess return,
                           This time around too, investors could be  while reiterating a Hold rating on ordinary
                         anticipating a declaration and cancellation of the  shares and Buy rating on preferred shares.
                         company’s ‘phantom’ treasury shares, BCS GM   As followed by bne IntelliNews, SurgutNG
                         analysts suggest.  "At one point in history Sur-  is the Russian oil sector's "dinosaur" known for
                         gutNG had some 42% of issued shares sitting in  its ultra-conservative financial policies, basing
                         treasury, but they have since fallen out of report-  operations only in rubles, and its $50bn-odd
                         ing, with no explanation," the analysts remind.  cash pile, which is almost as much as Russia’s
                           To remind, in 2020 rumours that SurgutNG  sovereign reserves. ™



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