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AsiaElec                                     COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec














































                           Tellurian and Petronet had envisioned final-
                         ising the transaction by March 31, but after  for additional new contacts and volumes to com-
                         executives from the US company visited India  ply with requirements from India.”
                         in February the deadline was pushed back to   Doha’s bargain position may have weakened
                         May 31. Tellurian spokesperson Joi Lecznar said  enough that New Delhi may be willing to try
                         last week that while the agreement had lapsed,  again. Qatari gas cost an estimated $8.5-9 per
                         the company was still in talks with Petronet and  mmBtu ($235.11-248.94 per 1,000 cubic metres)
                         other possible offtakers for the LNG terminal.  when oil was $60-70 per barrel. The average spot
                           The lapsing of the deal is anticipated to delay  price for July delivery into East Asia, meanwhile,
                         an FID on the export project, given that Tellu-  was estimated at $2.10 per mmBtu ($58.09 per
                         rian has only managed to finalise one supply  1,000 cubic metres) on June 5.
                         deal – Total agreed in July 2019 to buy 1mn tpy   The IEA has said India and China’s expand-
                         as well as a $500mn investment in Driftwood  ing gas consumption will help support a recov-
                         Holdings.                            ery in global demand in the coming years. India
                           The Driftwood project includes gas produc-  is expected to close in on South Korea’s position
                         tion, gathering, processing and transportation  as the world’s third-largest importer of LNG by
                         facilities, along with the 27.6mn tpy Driftwood  2023, while China will overtake Japan as the
                         LNG export facility that will be located near  global leader.
                         Lake Charles, Louisiana.               Singh told Platts that while the South Asian
                                                              giant’s gas demand had fallen from a pre-
                         What next                            COVID-19 high of 160mn cubic metres per day
                         India has a history of seeking better supply deals  to 110 mcm during the lockdown, it had already
                         while the energy market is experiencing price  recovered to 145 mcm per day and it would not
                         pains. New Delhi managed to convince the  be long before the lost ground had been regained.
                         Qatari government in 2015 to halve the cost of  He added that LNG imports, which shrank 40%
                         its long-term gas supplies. In exchange, India  to 1.5mn tonnes in May, would pick up over the
                         agreed to raise its purchases from 7.5mn tpy to  next six months.
                         8.5mn tpy. India then moved on to a successful   Given that Qatar is embarking on a major
                         renegotiation of long-term supply contracts with  expansion of its LNG export capacity and the
                         Australia and Russia.                demand outlook is plagued by uncertainty – the
                           New Delhi tried in January to revisit its sup-  biggest threat remains a second wave of COVID-
                         ply deal with Qatar once more, but its efforts fell  19 infections – it would not be surprising to hear
                         flat, with Energy Minister Saad Sherida al-Kaabi  in the coming months that Indian buyers had
                         saying: “We are not renegotiating contracts, we  indeed managed to secure more favourable term
                         stick with contracts – both sides – and we look  contracts.™



       Week 24   17•June•2020                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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