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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec




       Little hope for GERD





       talks this week






       Both Egypt and Ethiopia have failed to offer any hope of compromise in the
       GERD dispute, despite efforts by Sudan to restart talks, writes Richard Lockhart




        CHINA            HOPES of any resumption in talks between  not affect water supplies from the River Nile in
                         Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia over completing  Egypt.
       WHAT:             construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renais-  “A timeline must be set to finish up negotia-
       Egypt, Ethiopia, and   sance Dam (GERD) were rekindled this week as  tions, so it does not turn into a new tactic of stall-
       Sudan are talking again   online talks are held between the three countries.  ing and shirking responsibility from the 2015
       this week about GERD  Talks began on June 10 after Sudanese efforts  Declaration of Principles which all three coun-
                         to get Egypt and Ethiopia to resume negotiations  tries agreed to,” Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah
       WHY:              “in order to reach a comprehensive and satisfac-  al-Sisi’s office said in a statement on June 9 ahead
       Ethiopia insists it will   tory agreement that meets the interests of the  of the talks.
       continue construction   three countries.”                Al-Sisi added that Ethiopia was “inconsist-
       with or without an   Ahead of the talks, both Egypt and Ethiopian  ent” with its legal obligations and “casts a shadow
       agreement with Egypt.   leaders set out their positions this week, but did  over the negotiations.”
       Mediation has failed  not give any indication that they anticipated a   Al-Sisi held telephone talks with US President
                         breakthrough.                        Donald Trump on June 10, where he brought up
       WHAT NEXT:          The virtual meeting was attended by inter-  the GERD issue.
       With few signs of any   national observers from the US, the European   US involvement is crucial, as Washington had
       compromise, the talks   Union and South Africa, the current chair of the  hosted abortive talks on the GERD project in
       in all probability will fail   African Union.          February that ended in failure as the Ethiopians
       again               “It is hard to describe the meeting as positive  returned home without any agreement.
                         or [to say] it has reached any significant result, as   Al-Sisi’s words were directed at Ethiopia, as
                         it has focused on procedural issues that are rel-  Cairo accuses Addis Ababa of failing to keep to
                         evant to the schedule of the meetings, the refer-  the 2015 Declaration.
                         ence of the discussion, and the role and number
                         of the observers,” the Egyptian Irrigation Minis-  Ethiopian position.
                         try said in a statement.             Indeed, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s
                           There has been heavy Chinese involvement  statement to his country’s parliament earlier this
                         in GERD, both on the finance and construction  week insisted that Ethiopia would go ahead with
                         side.                                finishing the dam.
                           Although the Ethiopian government has   However, he gave no concrete details about
                         tried to finance the $5bn project from domestic  seeking to move the talks with Egypt forward.
                         sources,  China lent Ethiopia $1bn to fund the   Abiy defended Ethiopia’s record on the GERD
                         construction of transmission lines.  project, and reiterated his country’s determina-
                           Meanwhile, China Gezhouba Group is car-  tion to finish construction.
                         rying out commissioning work at the hydro pro-  “We have amicably resolved the dam’s elec-
                         ject, and Voith Hydro Shanghai is carrying out  tromechanical problems that delayed the civil
                         electrical, mechanical and constrution work at  construction, and other related works,” he noted,
                         the generating units and spillways.  adding that the project evaluation and control
                                                              had also been made dependable and standard.
                         Egyptian position                      He also said the entire construction was pro-
                         Ahead of the talks, both parties again outlined  gressing as planned and had reached the filling
                         their positions, which have not changed since  of the reservoir.
                         February.                              “For us, GERD is a matter of development
                           The Egyptian side said early on that it urged  and national identity that will not hurt Egypt
                         Ethiopia not to take any unilateral action with  and Sudan,” he said. “No one can stop us from
                         regards to filling the dam until a tripartite agree-  completing the dam.”
                         ment is reached.                       Abiy also stressed that negotiations had
                           Egypt’s position is that the talks have so far  reached the final phase, without providing fur-
                         been fruitless, and Cairo has failed to accept  ther details.
                         Ethiopia’s reassurances that the project would



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