Page 11 - AfrOil Week 03 2023
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AfrOil                                           POLICY                                               AfrOil



                         This training will enable them to run the facili-  three years to make the same move. Six years
                         ties efficiently to sustain the gains made over the   after the exit of the expatriate, we have built solid
                         years, he said.                      intellectual capital and done three successful
                           “It took Trinidad 40 years to become fully   maintenance shutdowns,” he explained further,
                         indigenous, Nigeria 50 years and Ghana just   according to a report from the Daily Graphic. ™



       Eskom, National Treasury row over diesel



       funds amidst worsening energy crisis






          SOUTH AFRICA   SOUTH Africa’s embattled national power   existing fundraising plan which it is executing
                         utility Eskom is trying to resolve a behind-the-  including private placement rolls, but this still
                         scenes dispute with the National Treasury over   brings them, including NT bailouts, to low sin-
                         much-needed diesel funds amid a worsening   gle-digit cash levels at the end of the year,” Mon-
                         domestic energy crisis, News24 reported on   talto was quoted as saying by News24.
                         January 17.                            “As such, there is absolutely no liquidity or
                           Power cuts, known locally as load-shedding,   ‘extra’ or ‘new’ funding to pay for diesel. I think
                         have escalated since January 10, when Eskom   many people don’t quite realise how low year-
                         implemented its worst-ever rolling outages   end cash levels are going to be, and this is indeed
                         (Stage 6) for 8-12 hours a day for households   why more bailouts may be needed in the next
                         and businesses until further notice. The only   fiscal year,” he added.
                         immediate way to reduce load-shedding is for   Credit analyst at Nedbank Corporate and
                         Eskom to burn diesel to power its open-cycle gas   Investment Banking (CIB) Jones Gondo said
                         turbines (OCGT), writes News24. All other pos-  it was unrealistic to think that Eskom would
                         sible solutions would take at least 18-24 months.  physically have cash available due to the rollo-
                           During  meetings  with  political  parties,   ver because the entity has so many competing
                         organised labour representatives and busi-  needs, especially considering the severity of its
                         nesses, chaired by President Cyril Ramaphosa   negative cash flow position.
                         on January 16, the key message from the Eskom   In an update on the power system for the
                         board was that load-shedding is here to stay for   next 24 hours, Eskom announced that it had
                         the next two years.                  been able to procure an additional 50mn litres
                           A steady supply of diesel would reduce   of diesel, which “will be utilised sparingly to
                         load-shedding by two stages. But Eskom said in   manage the pumped storage dam levels and to
                         December that it had run out of money to buy   limit the amount of load shedding during the
                         diesel and had already overspent its budget.  day,” says News24.
                           In the meantime, News24 has learned of   Burning diesel to power OCGTs comes at an
                         a recent decision by Public Investment Corp.   enormous cost, with 50mn litres costing around
                         (PIC) to roll over ZAR13bn ($758mn) of Eskom   ZAR1bn. However, economists agree that it is
                         debt when it becomes due on January 25, as con-  always less than the cost of unserved energy to
                         firmed by the PIC on January 16.     the economy. If Eskom spreads the 50mn litres
                           The PIC decision has led to the Treasury’s   over time and runs the turbines six hours a day,
                         expectation that Eskom will now have available   it will last for 13 days.
                         cash to buy diesel with the money allocated by   Gondo said that it appeared that Treasury
                         the Treasury for debt servicing. But Eskom said   was attempting to impose some discipline on
                         that it did not have spare cash and that the PIC   Eskom by playing hardball with funding for die-
                         rollover had already been figured into its plans.  sel. This was unrealistic, he said, given the state
                           “The rollover is in the process of being exe-  of Eskom. “The consequence for the economy of
                         cuted,” Eskom said in response to questions on   not providing funding for diesel is more damag-
                         January 16. “However, both the equity from   ing than the cost of paying for it,” he said.
                         Treasury and the rollover of Eskom’s redeem-  On January 17, the National Energy Crisis
                         able debt with the PIC form part of Eskom’s   Committee (NECCOM) began a three-day
                         annual borrowing programme for the financial   meeting to deal with the load shedding crisis.
                         year ending 31 March 2023. Accordingly, nei-  Among the top priorities is solving the diesel
                         ther source represents additional liquidity with   problem. Other measures that will be on the
                         which to purchase diesel.”           agenda will include a feed-in-tariff for domestic
                           According to Peter Attard Montalto, a lead   users to sell power back to the grid and the pos-
                         analyst on capital markets at Intellidex, Eskom’s   sibility of “demand-side measures,” which would
                         funding plan would leave it with almost no   entail a price structure that penalises users for
                         cash at the end of March 2023. “Eskom has an   exceeding certain limits on consumption. ™



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