Page 9 - FSUOGM Week 09 2022
P. 9

FSUOGM                                      PERFORMANCE                                            FSUOGM


       Russia ramps up gas supply via




       Ukraine despite invasion




        RUSSIA           RUSSIAN gas flow through Ukraine has surged  At issue is Gazprom’s sales under month-forward
                         in recent days, in spite of Russia’s all-out invasion  hub pricing, which probably account for 40-45%
       The increase was   of its western neighbour.           of the overall export contract portfolio.”
       triggered by a spike in   Russian supplies through the country rose by   For example, those contracts fixed the price
       gas prices at European   nearly 75% on February 24, the day that Moscow  of gas in January at the average month-forward
       hubs.             launched its attack, according to data published  hub price in December. So in January, the price
                         by ENTSOG. This followed a growth of 40% on  under these contracts was fixed at $1,350 per
                         the day before.                      1,000 cubic metres, even as spot prices fell to a
                           The increase was triggered by a spike in gas  still-high $990 per 1,000 cubic metres. Then in
                         prices at European hubs and a sharp growth in  February, the contract price came down to $990
                         demand for Russian gas. The March contract  per 1,000 cubic metres, but the spot and day-
                         at the Dutch TTF hub soared almost 50% on  ahead prices averaged around $895 per 1,000
                         February 24, exceeding €134 ($151) per MWh.  cubic metres.
                         However, it subsided by around 30% on the fol-  “All of that changed on February 23 as
                         lowing day.                          European gas prices began to climb late in the
                           Analysts at BCS Global Markets (BCS GM)  day before jumping to $1,400 per 1,000 cubic
                         note that Gazprom’s month-forward contracts  metres on February 24,” BCS GM said. “Flows
                         have been uncompetitive so far this year, and  to Europe via Ukraine rose 40% from a very
                         Russian exports to Europe have been low.   low 27mn cubic metres per day on February 22
                           “The reason was purely commercial,” BCS  to 38 mcm per day on February 23, then rose
                         GM said, commenting on previously low flows.  another 75% to 66 mcm per day in the court
                         “Although Gazprom was fully meeting client  of February 24,” BCS GM said. “Volumes are
                         nominations for volumes under its long-term  still well below the typical 109 mcm per day
                         contracts, those requests had fallen sharply for  we would expect via Ukraine, but are clearly
                         quite a simple reason – the price was too high.  headed in that direction.” ™


                                             PROJECTS & COMPANIES

       OMV axes Siberian gas




       acquisition





        UKRAINE          AUSTRIAN oil firm OMV will axe a plan to buy  while Germany’s Wintershall Dea has 25%. The
                         into two Achimov-layer gas blocks in Western  partners brought 4A into production in January
       The deal has been   Siberia, and is also reconsidering its involvement  2021, followed by 5A in April of that year.
       under discussion for   in Russia’s Nord Stream 2 pipeline project, the   OMV made no mention of an intent to divest
       years.            company said on March 1.             its existing business in Russia, which namely
                           In a terse statement, the company did not give  comprises a 25% holding in Gazprom’s Yuzh-
                         a reason for ending plans to buy into Gazprom’s  no-Russkoye gas field, which feeds into the orig-
                         Achimov 4A and 5A blocks at the Urengoi gas  inal Nord Stream pipeline to Germany. OMV
                         field. But the decision comes after many of its  nets 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day
                         peers in the European oil and gas industry have  (boepd) from the asset.
                         similarly scaled back in Russia in response to   OMV is one of five European backers of
                         Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. BP, Equinor and  Gazprom’s Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which while
                         Shell plan to leave altogether, while TotalEner-  complete, is yet to flow any gas, as its certification
                         gies will retain from any new investments in the  process has not been finished. German Chancel-
                         country.                             lor Olaf Scholz announced last week his govern-
                           OMV has been in talks to acquire 25% stakes  ment would halt that process, and since then the
                         in 4A and 5A for a number of years, and in  Swiss-based Nord Stream 2 operating company
                         2019 it reached a preliminary agreement to pay  has entered insolvency proceedings.
                         €905mn ($1.01bn) to Gazprom for the inter-  OMV lent Gazprom €730mn ($814mn) for
                         ests. Gazprom has a 75% interest in the blocks,  the project, whose total cost is $11bn. ™



       Week 09   02•March•2022                  www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P9
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