Page 8 - AsianOil Week 44 2021
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AsianOil                                        EAST ASIA                                            AsianOil




       Japan’s oil demand jumps





       amid surging LNG prices






       The country’s power generators are looking to fire up their
       oil generators as they baulk at near-record spot LNG prices




        COMMENTARY       THE Japanese power sector’s fuel oil demand has  Following the closure of the country’s nuclear
                         soared in response to record spot liquefied nat-  reactors, the power sector had little choice but to
                         ural gas (LNG) prices, with the country’s largest  rely on fossil fuels to pick up the immediate slack.
       WHAT:             refiner acknowledging that it would struggle to   While the country’s LNG demand has eased
       Japan’s largest refinery   meet demand.                somewhat in recent years, the country was still
       has warned that it   Eneos president Tsutomu Sugimori, who is  the largest importer of in 2020, purchasing
       may struggle to meet   also the head of the Petroleum Association of  74.4mn tonnes of the fuel. The rise in spot prices
       increased fuel oil   Japan (PAJ), said last week that record high spot  to record highs, then, puts the country’s gas users
       demand.           prices for LNG deliveries to Asia had led to a ris-  in a precarious position.
                         ing number of requests for oil supplies.  “Spot LNG prices have risen considerably
       WHY:                Price agency S&P Global Platts’ Japan-Korea-  and we have received requests from electric util-
       The power sector is   Marker (JKM), a benchmark for spot LNG con-  ities that want to use oil as a substitute,” Sugimori
       now competing with   tracts, rose to a record high of $56.33 per mmBtu  told reporters on October 27.
       the bunker industry for   on October 6. While the spot price has retreated   He added: “We are not sure if we can respond
       limited supplies.  somewhat since then, it remains high.  to all requests as our supply chains, including
                           Japanese buyers have, in recent years, be  ships, tanks and staff, for the utilities have shrunk
       WHAT NEXT:        reluctant to sign long-term contracts in the face  considerably as demand has been dropping. But
       The surge in oil demand   of a prolonged period of market oversupply.  we’ll try to respond as much as possible.”
       will be short-lived and   They have preferred spot purchases or short-  Sugimori noted that Japanese utilities’ typ-
       will peter out after the   term contracts owing to the challenges in fore-  ical reliance on fuel was around 3% of their
       winter.           casting Japanese power demand.       feedstock needs.
                           This position, however, has exposed the   High sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) users have
                         country’s gas buyers to pricing volatility and is  been the first to begin looking for supplies
                         driving many power producers to turn to fuel oil.  in preparation for the winter months, Platts
                                                              quoted unnamed market sources as saying on
                         Demand pressures                     November 2.
                         Japan increased its dependence on liquefied nat-  Sugimori warned that international oil
                         ural gas (LNG) in the years following the nuclear  prices could climb beyond their current range if
                         disaster, which took place in March 2011.  OPEC+ failed to boost supply. The international






























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