Page 9 - AsianOil Week 44 2021
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AsianOil                                       EAST ASIA                                            AsianOil








































                         Brent benchmarks settled at $81.99 per barrel on   While ships might have opted to secure bun-
                         November 3, while US West Texas Intermediate  kering services at a cheaper port, Platts ship-
                         (WTI) closed at $80.86 per barrel.   ping sources noted that high freight rates were
                           “We hope OPEC+ will decide to increase out-  encouraging shipping companies to avoid bun-
                         put ... in response to a request from Japan,” Sug-  kering detours. As such, this will only exacerbate
                         imori said, referring to Japanese Prime Minister  demand for fuel oil.
                         Fumio Kishida’s comments last month that his   Bunker traders noted that supply of both
                         government would call on global oil producers  HSFO and low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO) had
                         to increase their output.            started to tighten, with one noting that it had
                           With high LNG prices driving demand  suspended spot sales.
                         among Japan’s power utilities for oil, the coun-
                         try’s refiners are reportedly prioritising this  Short-term shift
                         demand over the bunker sector.       Japan’s oil demand has witnessed structural
                                                              declines for many years and, while volatility on
                         Bunker buster                        the international gas market is boosting current
                         “For refiners, selling fuel oil to power companies  demand, this is set to continue shrinking over
                         makes much more sense than selling it to [the]  the long term.
                         bunker market as the prices for power compa-  Japan’s refiners have been encouraged to
                         nies are much higher,” Platts quoted an unnamed  consolidate and close inefficient refineries in the
                         bunker trader as saying.             face of reduced domestic fuel demand and rising
                           This is apparently beginning to strain fuel  regional competition for export market share.
                         oil supplies, with Platts’ sources noting that   In the power sector, the government has its
                         local refineries were reluctant to increase their  sights set on expanding the share of renewables
                         throughput.                          and nuclear in the power mix at the expanse of
                           The pricing agency said the higher mid-  both LNG and oil.
                         dle distillate crack spreads were curbing the   The government has pledged to source
                         downstream sector’s enthusiasm for bunker oil  36-38% of the country’s energy from renewables
                         production. Platts quoted one bunker trader as  by 2030, up from 18% in 2020. While nuclear is
                         saying: “Refiners don’t want to increase fuel oil  also to see a boost – from 6% of the power mix
                         production.”                         to 20-22% – LNG is expected to see its slice fall
                           This will make things tricky, with demand for  from 37% to 20%.
                         bunker fuel from the shipping industry expected   Tokyo’s determination to boost renewables
                         ramp up over the next few months.    and nuclear energy’s presence makes environ-
                           “Ships arriving in Japan after mid-November  mental and strategic sense, particularly in light of
                         load bunker fuel for two voyages,” Platts quoted  recent commodity market volatility. While surg-
                         a shipping industry source as saying. The ships  ing LNG prices may stoke oil demand over the
                         stock up on fuel ahead of the New Year holi-  winter, bunker market tightness is likely to ease
                         day period, when bunkering operations are  in the spring as temperatures rise and demand
                         suspended.                           from the bunker industry normalises.™



       Week 44   04•November•2021               www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P9
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