Page 7 - DMEA Week 18 2022
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA








































                         forces. Spain has pledged to assist Morocco by  geographic proximity to the Continent.
                         letting the latter country import LNG via its own   Just  this week, for  example,  Bloomberg
                         import terminals and then use the GME pipeline  reported that it had viewed a draft EU docu-
                         in reverse mode to transport gas from Spanish  ment saying that Brussels intended to expand
                         territory to the Moroccan market.    co-operation with African states as part of a plan
                           This pledge, in turn, has drawn the ire of  to reduce imports of Russian gas by two thirds
                         Algiers, which remains dissatisfied with Madrid’s  before the end of this year. West African coun-
                         policy on Western Sahara.            tries such as Senegal, Nigeria and Angola have
                           Algeria has criticised Spain for offering  significant potential as future suppliers of LNG
                         Morocco access to its LNG terminals, arguing  and could become important sources of fuel for
                         that such an arrangement would violate the  the European market, the news agency cited the
                         destination clauses of the Sonatrach supply deal  document as saying.
                         that prohibit re-export. For its part, Spain has   But it bears remembering that these countries
                         said it can guarantee that no Algerian gas will be  are more than just reservoirs of fuel waiting for
                         diverted to Morocco via the GME as a result of  buyers. These gas-producing states – both cur-
                         the deal.                            rent producers, such as Nigeria and Angola, and
                                                              future producers such as Senegal – have their
                         EU eyes new energy suppliers         own histories and their own sensitivities.
                         As for the rest of Europe, officials in Brussels
                         had hoped to see conditions improve across the  New suppliers, new complications
                         bloc after the start of the new year, with concerns  And those sensitivities have an unfortunate ten-
                         about prices and supplies easing as spring drew  dency to come to the forefront when stakes are
                         closer.                              high.
                           Instead, EU energy markets have come under   The case of Algeria, Morocco and Spain
                         even more pressure in 2022. Oil and gas prices  makes this tendency clear. The tensions in play
                         rose as Russian military forces gathered near the  between these three countries have not gone
                         Ukrainian border, and they shot upward once  away since last autumn, and they have certainly
                         the war began on February 24.        not been overshadowed by the larger-scale
                           Since then, the war in Ukraine has raised  crisis that has erupted over Ukraine. Instead,
                         questions about the advisability (and even the  they have continued to simmer, and as of press
                         ethics) of the EU’s continued dependence on  time, the disputes between the parties remained
                         Russian energy supplies. Those questions, in  unresolved.
                         turn, have led Brussels to debate the aforemen-  What this means is that if the EU stops buying
                         tioned proposals for prohibiting the importation  oil and gas from Russia and turns to another part
                         of Russian oil and gas. They have also led many  of the world, it won’t just be swapping one com-
                         European officials to look for alternative sources  mercial partner for another. It will also be tak-
                         of fuel and tout the merits of various geographic  ing on a new set of complicating factors – and it
                         regions – especially North Africa and sub-Saha-  ought to learn those risks and understand them
                         ran Africa, which have the advantage of relative  as much as possible before it does so.™



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