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              86                 THE PRACTICE OF INNOVATION

              rin”  and  sold  it  effectively. After  all,  the  dangers  and  limitations  of
              aspirin were no secret; medical literature was full of them. Yet, for the
              first five or eight years, the newcomers had the market to themselves.
                 Similarly, the United States Postal Service did not react for many
              years to innovators who took away larger and larger chunks of the
              most profitable services. First, United Parcel Service took away ordi-
              nary parcel post; then Emery Air Freight and Federal Express took
              away the even more profitable delivery of urgent or high-value mer-
              chandise and letters. What made the Postal Service so vulnerable was
              its rapid growth. Volume grew so fast that it neglected what seemed
              to be minor categories, and thus practically delivered an invitation to
              the innovators.
                 Again and again when market or industry structure changes, the
              producers or suppliers who are today’s industry leaders will be found
              neglecting the fastest-growing market segments. They will cling to
              practices that are rapidly becoming dysfunctional and obsolete. The
              new growth opportunities rarely fit the way the industry has “always”
              approached  the  market,  been  organized  for  it,  and  defines  it.  The
              innovator in this area therefore has a good chance of being left alone.
              For some time, the old businesses or services in the field will still be
              doing well serving the old market the old way. They are likely to pay
              little attention to the new challenge, either treating it with condescen-
              sion or ignoring it altogether.
                 But there is one important caveat. It is absolutely essential to keep
              the innovation in this area simple. Complicated innovations do not
              work. Here is one example, the most intelligent business strategy I
              know of and one of the most dismal failures.
                 Volkswagen triggered the change which converted the automobile
              industry around 1960 into a global market. The Volkswagen Beetle
              was the first car since the Model T forty years earlier that became a
              truly international car. It was as ubiquitous in the United States as it
              was in its native Germany, and as familiar in Tanganyika as it was in
              the Solomon Islands. And yet Volkswagen missed the opportunity it
              had created itself—primarily by being too clever.
                 By 1970, ten years after its breakthrough into the world mar-
              ket, the Beetle was becoming obsolete in Europe. In the United
              States,  the  Beetle’s  second-best  market,  it  still  sold  moderately
              well. And in Brazil, the Beetle’s third-largest market, it apparent-
              ly still had substantial growth ahead. Obviously, new strategy was
              called for.
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