Page 158 - Minutes of meeting

The Labour Market Challenge

Skills

Labour market projections show that the occupational structure of Barrow’s employed workforce will shift substantially in the years to
2036. Whilst this broadly applies to Cumbria too, Barrow will see a greater shift than the wider county especially at the intermediary

level of occupation – and both areas will see greater change than England.

The proportion of higher level occupations, defined as Managers & Directors, Professionals and Associate Professional
Occupations, will increase by 22% in Barrow during this period. This is slightly below the projected 24% growth in Cumbria, but

much greater than England’s projected 13% - suggesting great demand for higher level skills in Barrow going forward. This growth in
Barrow will coincide with a marginal decrease in the proportion of lower level occupations (-2%), and a substantial decrease in
intermediary occupations (-18%). Whilst intermediary occupations will shrink as a proportion in Cumbria and England, the decrease
will be much smaller.

Change in occupation share (2018-36) by level of occupation Change in employment by occupation (2018-36), Barrow

Data Source: Cambridge Econometrics Local Economy Forecasting Model (June 2019) via Cumbria County Council