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•  Breach - A breach is the occurrence of a security mechanism being bypassed or
                       thwarted by a threat agent.

                   The elements asset, threat, vulnerability, exposure, risk, and safeguard are related, as
               shown in Figure 2.4. Threats exploit vulnerabilities, which results in exposure. Exposure is
               risk, and risk is mitigated by safeguards. Safeguards protect assets that are endangered by
               threats.


                   Figure 2.4 : The elements of risk


















                                         Identify Threats and Vulnerabilities

                       An  essential  part  of  risk  management  is  identifying  and  examining  threats.  This
               involves  creating  an  exhaustive  list  of  all  possible  threats  for  the  organization’s  identified
               assets.

                                             Risk Assessment/Analysis
                       Risk management/analysis is primarily an exercise for upper management. It is their
               responsibility to initiate and support risk analysis and assessment by defining the scope and
               purpose of the endeavor. There are two risk assessment methodologies:

                   •  Quantitative risk analysis assigns real dollar figures to the loss of an asset.
                   •  Qualitative risk analysis assigns subjective and intangible values to the loss of an
                       asset.



                                             Quantitative Risk Analysis

                   The quantitative method results in concrete probability percentages. That means the end
               result  is  a  report  that  has  dollar  figures  for  levels  of  risk,  potential  loss,  cost  of
               countermeasures, and value of safeguards. The six major steps or phases in quantitative risk
               analysis are as follows:
                   •  Inventory assets, and assign a value (asset value, or AV).




               ITEC106 – Systems Security                                       Mr. John Mark L. Dula
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