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The Watershed Rehabilitation
               Program was the second biggest         Adventures with CBO
               loser through ChIMPS, with $620
               million in cuts.                       The analysts for the Congressional Budget
                                                      Office who estimate the cost of farm and
               CHIMPS to programs such as             nutrition are for the most part anonymous
               EQIP have become so popular            scorekeepers. But changes in their
               with appropriators over the past       methodology or assumptions can have major
               decade that the Agriculture            impacts on their estimates. And, sometimes
               committees now assume that the         they can make mistakes, too.
               dollar amounts that they write into
               the farm bill for those programs       In 2002, the Agriculture committees were more
               will never be fully spent, a           than a little lucky that they had all that extra
               congressional aide said.               money to spend: During final congressional
                                                      negotiations on the bill in 2002, the
               Congress has not yet acted on          Congressional Budget Office made a $6 billion
               fiscal 2017 appropriations for most    error in scoring, or estimating, the bill’s cost.
               departments – the government is
               operating under a continuing           The mistake occurred when CBO analysts
               resolution that maintains 2016         misread the proposed new rules for calculating
               spending levels – but the House        direct payments to grain and cotton growers. The
               Agriculture Appropriations             new rules allowed them to update their yields.
               Subcommittee included another          Former Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman
               $427 million in farm bill CHIMPS       Tom Harkin (shown below) famously
               to the 2017 spending bill the panel    downplayed the significance of the error by
               wrote for USDA.                        calling it “pencil dust” in the context of federal
               Groups interested in conservation      spending.
               programs will be appealing to
               appropriators not to cut any of
               those programs, including EQIP
               and the Conservation Stewardship
               Program, in fiscal 2018 so that the
               cuts don’t result in lower spending
               levels in the next farm bill.
               The sequestration cuts required
               by the 2011 Budget Control Act
               turned out to be a double
               whammy for the farm bill. Even
               though the 2014 farm bill cut
               spending, payments under most
               farm programs – other than SNAP
               and the CRP – also have been reduced through sequestration. In addition to reducing the baseline
               used to write the farm bill, additional sequestration cuts from fiscal 2013 through 2017 have
               reduced spending by another $6.4 billion, according to a congressional staff estimate.


                                                     www.Agri-Pulse.com                                                                    43
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