Page 10 - EW February 2025_Neat
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Editorial



         BUDGET WE NEED & BUDGET WE'LL GET                                 our calculation, these measures will
                                                                           enable the Centre to save and mobil-
                                                                           ise an additional Rs.7-8 lakh crore per
              y the time readers of this sui   reduce expenditure. As recited in   year. This amount should be invested
              generis publication which re-  our review of last year’s Union Bud-  in public education and health, the
         Bcently crossed the milestone of   get 2024-25 (EW, August 2024), the   prerequisite of a great productivity
         25 years of uninterrupted publishing   market value of Central government   leap in Indian agriculture, industry
         read this editorial, the Union Budget   PSEs is estimated at a humungous   and the services (see www.education-
         2025-26 will have already been pre-  Rs.22 lakh crore. If these 256 legacy   world.in, EW August 2024).
         sented to Parliament and the public   white elephants are auctioned over   Although this is the bold, break-
         by long-tenured Union finance min-  the next two years, it would substan-  away budget we need, the budget we’ll
         ister Nirmala Sitharaman.        tially stabilise the Government of In-  get is likely to tread a familiar path.
           With the annual rate of GDP growth   dia’s finances.            On the positive side, the BJP/NDA
         unlikely to exceed 6.5 percent and the   In essence, the finance minister’s   government’s outlay for infrastruc-
         rate of inflation forecast at 5.3 percent   remit is to increase the government’s   ture — a force multiplier — at around
         in 2024-25, in real terms the revenue   revenue to fund expenditure neces-  25 percent of total expenditure is
         of the Central government is likely to   sary for governance and economic   likely to be maintained. After allo-
         remain  flat.  A  readily  available  op-  development. Therefore, apart from   cations for establishment expenses,
         tion is to auction a large number of   substantially augmenting revenue by   interest payout and defence, the pif-
         the Centre’s 256 mostly loss-making   biting the bullet on the issue of pri-  fling remainder is likely to be spread
         public sector enterprises (PSEs) to   vatisation of PSEs, it’s high time that   over on-going projects in all sectors of
         boost revenue and also enable it to   she also applied her mind to reduc-  the economy — amounts too small to
         retire debt to reduce the Centre’s huge   ing the Union government’s establish-  make a difference to the vast major-
         annual interest payout (Rs.11.62 lakh   ment expenditure which consumes 16   ity of citizens leading miserable lives
         crore out of its total budget revenue of   percent of the Centre’s budget; slic-  at the bottom of the country’s iniq-
         Rs.48.21 lakh crore in 2024-25). But   ing non-merit middle class subsidies   uitous pyramid. Instead, it might be
         despite the professedly pro-private   (higher education, electricity, piped   better for the FM to make bold policy
         enterprise BJP having been in office   water etc); reducing the constantly   announcements relating to freeing
         at the Centre for over a decade, it has   rising interest payout burden of the   MSMEs from licence-permit-quota
         failed to avail this win-win option to   Government of India through the   raj and permitting high street bank-
         boost revenue and simultaneously   sales proceeds of PSEs. According to   ing (see below).

         TIME TO PERMIT HIGH STREET BANKS                                  GDP against the global  average of
                                                                           148 percent, 192 percent in the US,
                                                                           180 percent in China, Korea’s 176 and
              he dip in india’s gdp growth rate   Numerous reasons have been ad-  126 percent in fast-track Vietnam.
              in the third quarter (October-  vanced by critics and independent   Heavily bureaucratised banking has
         TDecember) to 6.2 percent came   economists for slowdown of the   stymied the growth of India’s all-im-
         as a great disappointment to monitors   economy from 8.2 percent growth   portant MSMEs.
         of the Indian economy and citizenry.   in 2023-24 despite an upsurge in   As an antidote, there is urgent
         This disappointing performance   agriculture output because of a good   need to permit promotion of High
         against earlier forecast of 7.5-8 per-  monsoon this year. Among them:   Street banking. In essence, high
         cent has prompted the World Bank   slow pace of economic liberalisation;   street banks are deposits-taking and
         and IMF to revise their forecast for   weaponisation of tax enforcement   lending institutions promoted by suc-
         fiscal 2024-25 to 6.2-6.5 percent.   agencies; GST tax law complications;   cessful local businessmen. They tend
           Although government spokesper-  continued unease of doing business   to be well-informed about their local
         sons maintain that India’s economic   which has discouraged private sector   communities, about which small busi-
         growth rate remains the highest   investment.                     nesses are doing well and need capital
         worldwide, given that it was stuck in   Yet the dismal record of the bank-  to expand and grow. They proactively
         the 3.5 percent per year rut for over   ing sector dominated by the country’s   reach out to high-potential businesses
         30 years (1960-1990), there is a lot of   nationalised banks to advance ad-  and offer loans and assistance. India’s
         ground to make up and 6.5 percent   equate credit to industry, agriculture   registered NBFCs are halfway there,
         per year is insufficient. India’s GDP   and services hasn’t been sufficiently   but they aren’t permitted to accept
         needs to grow at more than 8 percent   highlighted. Especially to MSMEs   deposits. Therefore, awaiting dena-
         per year if the country is to break   (medium, small and micro enter-  tionalisation,  there  is  urgent  need
         out of the ‘middle income trap’ (per   prises) that account for 40 percent of   to permit deposits-taking and lend-
         capita income of $12,500 cf. $2,500   India’s GDP, 70 percent of industrial   ing high street banks promoted by
         currently) and attain Prime Minister   workforce, and 50 percent of exports.   well-established businessmen who
         Modi’s Viksit Bharat and $30 trillion   It’s shocking but true that annual   have the trust of their communities,
         GDP (cf. 3.5 trillion currently) goals   credit advanced by India’s ultra-  to fund MSMEs. American industry
         for the year 2047 when the nation will   conservative banks to private indus-  and  its  globe-girdling  banks  were
         celebrate its century of independence.   try aggregates a mere 50 percent of   built this way.

         10    EDUCATIONWORLD   FEBRUARY 2025
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