Page 18 - Gi flipbook June/July 2018
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Futurescape: The view from 2035



                 available at a number of filling stations
                 alongside petrol and diesel, which are
                 used less and less each year.

                 HEAVY INDUSTRY
                 Coal has been consigned to the past
                 but natural gas is still powering heavy
                 industry. Although the sector has
                 started to move away from using gas,
                 it remains the most reliable way to
                 supply the large amounts of energy
                 required by industrial processes such
                 as iron and steel production. Gas is
                 therefore still a major energy source
                 for heavy industry, which remains
                 connected to the gas network.
                   In regions where a hydrogen
                 network has developed, buses have
                 also switched to hydrogen. Other
                 areas use electric and petrol hybrid   hydrogen is also produced from water   Individual customers can provide
                 buses. The rail network, including   by electrolysis using low-cost   balancing and ancillary services via
                 trams, is fully electrified, other than a   renewable electricity. This approach is   virtual power plants and aggregators.
                 few hydrogen trains.             expected to play an increasingly   There are more energy retailers, with
                                                  important role in the future. Hydrogen  local energy co-operatives and
                 NATURAL GAS                      is produced in locations where there   municipal suppliers providing a large
                 Natural gas plays a smaller but still   are constraints on the network   proportion of energy, particularly for
                 vital role in the energy system. While   capacity. For example, large onshore   those customers connected to
                 renewables and hydrogen are the rising   wind farms in Scotland and remote   microgrids. This results in a wider variety
                 stars of the energy system, legacy   offshore wind farms are used to   of products including time-of-use and
                 energy infrastructure for natural gas is   produce hydrogen when there is   peer-to-peer tariffs (via blockchain
                 still operating in parallel. For example,   excess capacity, taking advantage of   technology). There is a greater variety of
                 some CCGTs and natural gas networks   the low marginal cost of energy from   heating solutions: hydrogen (where the
                 remain operational and are expected to   renewable sources.       network is available), district heating
                 remain so until the end of their lives.   In other countries with abundant   (mostly in urban areas) and electric
                 Existing gas networks are valuable   sunshine and large areas of land   heating via community heat pumps
                 national infrastructure assets with   remote from urban centres of demand,   (largely in rural areas).
                 large storage capacities, and heavy   solar PV is being similarly used.   New properties are energy-neutral.
                 industry continues to reply upon them.   Floating wind farms, too far from shore   At times they export energy back to
                                                  for viable electricity connections, are in   the grid (for example from PV
                 HYDROGEN PRODUCTION              the planning phase, with hydrogen   generation during the day when sun is
                 Hydrogen production has become a   storage and terminal locations   shining). At other times they import
                 major industry and an important part   identified. The hydrogen produced is   energy from the grid. Some properties
                 of the energy system.            fed into the gas network, or     have energy storage allowing them to
                   The majority of hydrogen is produced   transported as liquid hydrogen. There   be self-sufficient in energy throughout
                 from methane, using steam methane   is a growing international market in   the year. However, with the majority
                 reformers (SMRs) built along the coast.   hydrogen produced from renewables,   of properties 30 or more years old, an
                 Newly constructed pipelines take waste   with shipping and liquefaction facilities   energy-efficiency retrofit programme
                 CO  from the SMRs and store it in   under construction.           has been integrated with the
                   2
                 carbon capture facilities, such as former                         deployment of smart appliances and
                 oil and natural gas extraction sites in the   SMART HOMES         smart systems to homes. These older
                 North Sea. Funding previously allocated   On average homes are much smarter   properties are still largely net
                 for North Sea decommissioning was   with their energy, newer homes are   consumers of energy, particularly for
                 instead used to stimulate investment in   virtually energy neutral but the   heating, even with some behind-the-
                 these storage facilities.        majority of housing stock is old and   meter generation installed. ■
                   The gas transmission network has   still energy hungry.
                 seen significant levels of investment   Homes and the appliances within   ■ Arup is an independent firm of
                 too, as it has had to adapt to the   them are much smarter in 2035 thanks   designers, planners, engineers,
                 transition to hydrogen while     to smart meters, small-scale batteries   consultants and technical specialists,
                 continuing to supply methane. Ofgem   and smart devices connected by the   working across every aspect of
                 appointed a hydrogen network system   Internet of Things. This has reduced   today’s built environment. To read
                 operator, who managed the        power consumption, particularly at peak  the full report, visit www.arup.com/
                 competitive process used to build the   times, and enabled consumers to   publications/research/section/energy-
                 hydrogen transmission network. Some   participate in demand-side management.  systems-a-view-from-2035






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        HouseholdEnergy2035.indd   3                                                                              17/05/2018   17:15
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