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heading for hydrogen


                 WORLD PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY BY SOURCE                                         HISTORICAL DATA SOURCE: IEA WEB (2018)

                 UNITS: EXAJOULES PER YEAR (EJ/YR)
                   700
                                                                                                       WIND
                   600                                                                                 SOLAR PV
                                                                                                       SOLAR THERMAL
                   500
                                                                                                       HYDROPOWER
                   400                                                                                 BIOMASS

                   300                                                                                 GEOTHERMAL
                                                                                                       NUCLEAR FUELS
                   200
                                                                                                       NATURAL GAS
                   100                                                                                 OIL
                                                                                                       COAL
                    0
                     1980      1990       2000      2010       2020       2030      2040       2050

                 site – the world’s first comprehensive   atmosphere costs virtually nothing. Our   technical and market analysis to
                 hydrogen testing facility.       2019 Energy Transition Outlook finds   provide a knowledge base for decisions
                   The second area is to develop efficient   that CCS will not scale until the 2040s   regarding national strategy and policy
                 hydrogen infrastructure. Countries with   without changes to government policy.   measures. It’s also about collaboration
                 natural gas transmission and delivery   However, if policymakers make   between organisations and companies
                 systems in place can continue to use   bold decisions – the types of bold   to bring together the best technical
                 those assets in a hydrogen economy.   decisions that stimulated other clean   expertise and experience that will
                 Even where existing infrastructure   technologies like solar and wind –   drive this forward.
                 can be reused or repurposed, there   large-scale uptake can happen.
                 will still be issues to resolve. Our   Industry can also play a role by   If policymakers make bold
                 experts are helping companies across   finding ways to reduce the cost of
                 the global oil and gas value chain to   implementing CCS. Some 62 per cent of   decisions – the types of bold
                 develop hydrogen-fit infrastructure.   senior oil and gas industry professionals  decisions that stimulated other
                 One operational constraint to overcome   think the sector should drive adoption   clean technologies like solar
                 includes the fact that hydrogen pipeline   forward immediately, and not wait for   and wind – large-scale uptake
                 networks may need to be operated at   government policies/incentives.
                 different pressures (or velocity) than   The final enabler for the growth   can happen
                 natural gas/biogas.              of hydrogen relates to the need to
                   Further research may be needed   incentivise value chains through   In the UK, Antony Green, Project
                 into whether hydrogen could have   policy. The quicker that government   Director for Hydrogen at National Grid,
                 an adverse effect on materials (e.g.,   incentivises industry to adopt   said in the report: “The UK’s net zero
                 in pipes and valves) and finally,   technology, the quicker the technology   targets have put a massive impetus on
                 various appliances would need to   goes down the cost-learning curve and   utility networks to find the right path.
                 be converted or replaced (e.g., water   becomes independently financially   As a result, we’ve seen collaboration like
                 heaters, compressors, pumps and   viable. Use cases will create demand   never before over this last 12 months.”
                 sensors). An interesting example is the   for hydrogen, and demand will lead
                 project DNV GL has been undertaking   to further investment, lower costs,   Shifting the timeline
                 in the Netherlands – the Power2Gas   greater acceptance, and the momentum   The challenge now is not in the
                 programme being led by Stedin, a   needed to build sustainable supply   ambition, but in changing the timeline.
                 Dutch gas and power grid operator. We   chains. But to make use cases a reality,   This is a challenge of adaptability, laid
                 have been managing and providing   governments and inter-governmental   bare in 2020 as the world is blindsided
                 expert support to test that homes can   organisations have to make more long-  by a dramatic black swan event. But
                 be heated by 100 per cent hydrogen   term policy commitments.     our research suggests that once the
                 replacing natural gas in an existing                              recovery gains momentum, the oil and
                 pipeline for the first time in the country.  Importance of collaboration  gas industry will continue – or even
                   Third is the need to scale CCS   Collaboration is vital for hydrogen to   accelerate – its diversification, with
                 technology. All major routes to   reach its true potential. To progress to   an ever-increasing focus on the most
                 successfully decarbonise gas rely on the   the stage where societies and industry   abundant element in the universe.
                 large-scale uptake of CCS. More than   can enjoy the benefits of hydrogen
                 half of those we surveyed (55 per cent)   at scale, governments and industry    Download the DNV
                 said that the oil and gas industry could   will need to make bold decisions and   GL report Heading for
                 not decarbonise without greater uptake   balance short- and long-term priorities   Hydrogen at www.
                 of CCS. CCS struggles to gain traction   to address the key enablers I mentioned   dnvgl.com/oilgas/
                 because there is a cheaper option for   above. In Norway, for example, DNV   hydrogen/heading-
                 industry; emitting carbon into the   GL supported the government with   for-hydrogen.html
                                                                                                    HEADING FOR
                                                                                                    HYDROGEN
                                                                                                    The oil and gas industry’s outlook for
                                                                                                    hydrogen, from ambition to reality
                                                                                                    SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
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        DNVGLHydrogenResearch.indd   3                                                                            16/07/2020   11:46
        DNVGLHydrogenResearch.indd   3
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