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DIGEST
THE ANALYSIS SHOWS SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FOR THE ENERGY SYSTEM
REPORT: IMMEDIATE ACTION where hydrogen dominates.
All four scenarios illustrate
NEEDED FOR ENERGY SECTOR that electrification is key to the
decarbonisation of transport. It is
estimated there will be over 11 million
TO REACH NET ZERO BY 2050 electric vehicles on British roads by
2030 (and over 30 million by 2040) in
the most stretching net zero scenarios.
By 2050, up to 80 per cent of
households with an electric vehicle will
THREE OF FOUR SCENARIOS outlined pathways for the future of energy over be ‘smart charging’ their car, plugging
in National Grid’s Future Energy the next 30 years. It considers the energy in outside of the evening peak when
Scenarios (FES) report show Britain needed in Britain across electricity and energy is cheaper and demand on the
reaching net zero carbon emissions by gas, examining where it could come grid is lower. Meanwhile, 45 per cent
2050 or earlier. from, how it needs to change and what of homes will actively help to balance
However, the report emphasises that this means for consumers, society and the grid, offering up to 38GW of flexible
this requires immediate action across the energy system itself. electricity to help manage peaks and fill
all key technologies and policy areas The four scenarios are Consumer troughs in demand.
with fundamental changes for energy Transformation, Leading the Way, Energy efficiency of housing also
consumers, particularly in transport, Steady Progression and System features strongly with fundamental
heating and energy efficiency, according Transformation. The level of energy changes in how houses are heated in
to New Civil Engineer. efficiency is higher in the first three all the net zero scenarios. 2050 could
Based on input from more than 600 scenarios, which are more electrified see homes no longer using natural gas
experts, the report outlines four different compared to System Transformation, boilers and 20 million heat pumps
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