Page 21 - Gi flipbook August 2018
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at the current T-4 auction prices. But   fact further proof of the issues with
                                                  this leaves us with the question of   the current auction system?
                                                  why is there such a substantial price   Interconnectors, like other ‘newer’
                                                  differential between existing    forms of energy capacity are privy to a
                                                  generation capabilities, new forms of   range of pricing advantages or
                                                  energy and large gas plants? In the   ‘embedded benefits’, which are
                                                  recent T-4 auction, close to 86 per   unavailable to gas plants, as a more
                                                  cent of awarded capacity was     proven form of generation.
                                                  allocated to existing generational   Interconnectors have access to the
                                                  systems. Will these ageing assets be   Ofgem cap and floor regime, which
                                                  able to maintain the surety of supply   provides the developer with a
                                                  as they continue along their lifecycle?   guaranteed minimum price to subsidise
                                                    The current T-4 auction awards   the cost of energy delivery, thereby
                                                  existing generational capabilities   driving down the auction price.
                                                  some key advantages: initial capital   Such benefits are not only not
                                                  expenditure will likely have fallen   available to gas and other more
                                                  away, either wholly or partially,   established forms of energy, but can
                                                  resulting in an ability to operate at   also be punished by existing taxes and
                                                  much lower running costs and     charges, such as the UK’s carbon tax.
                                                  therefore, provide energy at a lower   The government has sought to review
                                                  price point. Take, for example, the   the weighting criteria following the
                                                  Carrington Combined Cycle Gas    success of energy generation forms
                                                  Turbine (CCGT) plant which opened   privy to embedded benefits in recent
                                                  in 2016 for reported construction   auctions, but the results of the most
                                                  costs of £710 million. This plant was   recent T-4 auction demonstrate that
                                                  awarded around 822MW in the      this has not been sufficiently addressed.
                                                  recent T-4 auction. At the time of
                                                  delivery under the recent T-4 auction   THE QUESTION OF BREXIT
                                                  regime, the Carrington plant will have   Additionally, the impact of Brexit and
                                                  provided electricity at higher prices   the current political climate pose a
                                                  for several years, decreasing the   serious risk if the UK becomes
                                                  impact that capital expenditure has   increasingly reliant on interconnectors
                                                  on its cost base.                and imports from Europe and Russia.
                                                    The failure to adequately address this   The realities of Brexit are still
                 bid for fixed payments either one or   issue in the T-4 auction process is   unknown, however, the Beast from
                 four years ahead to reduce construction   impacting on the construction of new   the East in early March paints a
                 risk and offset capital expenditure
                 against guaranteed future income. In
                 practice, it has had mixed results.   The auction system has failed to provide
                   Instead of promoting large-scale
                 generational capacity – traditionally   support for gas plant construction,
                 viewed as the future anchor of the    instead favouring the construction of
                 energy market with the impending
                 closure of ageing coal and nuclear    less proven or more volatile systems
                 plants – the current auction system
                 has repeatedly promoted the
                 construction of smaller demand-side
                 projects or created pricing that is only   build capacity in the UK. If prices remain   worrying picture. The cold weather, in
                 viable for existing infrastructure.   as low as those achieved in February   conjunction with the closure of the
                   The auction system has failed to   this year, we risk becoming dangerously   Rough offshore gas storage facility
                 provide support for gas plant    dependent on ageing infrastructure.   and National Grid’s gas deficit warning,
                 construction, instead favouring the                               triggered an astronomical spike in the
                 construction of less proven or more   INTERCONNECTORS –           wholesale price for the immediate
                 volatile systems. The viability of   A BENEFIT TOO FAR?           delivery of gas to 350 pence per
                 large-scale generation plants under   Similarly, many commentators classify   therm, up from 63 pence per therm
                 the capacity market system has    interconnectors as one of the big   the previous week.
                 been impacted by several         ‘winners’ of the recent T-4 auction. Is   While this was, perhaps, an isolated
                 contributing factors.            the success of interconnectors, which   incident resulting from unique
                                                  connect the UK with European     weather across the continent, it
                 A DANGEROUS DEPENDENCE           supplied electricity through subsea   highlights the volatility that exists in
                 ON AGEING INFRASTRUCTURE         cables, a demonstration of a     the wholesale gas market. It is
                 The latest auction has made it   sustainable mechanism of providing   currently unknown as to whether
                 abundantly clear that large-scale gas   energy at low prices for the ultimate   Brexit will result in the loss of
                 plants are not capable of competing   benefit of consumers? Or are they in   membership to the EU solidarity






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        ReconsideringCapacityMarket.indd   2                                                                      19/07/2018   16:22
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