Page 12 - September 2018 Disruption Report Flip Book

DISRUPTION OF TRANSPORTATION SEJAPNTEUMARBYER20210818
So the disruption isn’t necessarily about an auto industry going away or even shrinking (quite the opposite), but rather a drastic change of the delivery of mobility from a product to more of a network — and all the resulting changes in supply-chain economics, winners and losers within the auto industry itself, and the impact to existing industry stakeholders. (Citi GPS Global Perspectives & Solutions, Itay Michaeli, August 2018)
According to BI Intelligence’s 2018 forecast for U.S. connected and autonomous cars, by the year 2023:
• Nearly all new cars in the US will be connected by 2023, and 1 in 7 will have autonomous features.
• There will be over 2.5 million semi- or fully autonomous cars on US roads.
• Autonomous cars used for on-demand mobility services will account for 16% of total miles driven in the US, compared with 13% for manually driven vehicles.
• On-demand mobility services will account for 29% of miles driven in the US — autonomous cars will drive 640 billion miles, while manually driven cars will account for 520 billion miles.
• Total data generated in the US will approach 8 zettabytes (ZBs), up from 0.72 ZBs in 2018. [According to the PC Encyclopedia, a gigabyte is equal to 1,024 megabytes; a terabyte is equal to 1,024 gigabytes; a petabyte is equal to 1,024 terabytes; an exabyte is equal to 1,024 petabytes; and a zettabyte is equal to 1,024 exabytes.]
• Semi-autonomous cars will make up nearly 80% of total data generated, or 6.3 ZBs. (The Transportation and Logistics Forecast Book 2018, Jonathan Camhi and Ayoub Aouad, 08/23/18)
The biggest obstacles to the rollout of self-driving cars
When asked what the biggest obstacle to fully automated self-driving cars, Daniela Rus, Professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science and Director of the Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL) at MIT, said:
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