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A10   WORLD NEWS
              Wednesday 22 november 2017


















            UK budget likely to prepare state finances for Brexit shock



            By DANICA KIRKA              pressure to show the coun-   rising numbers of patients.
            Associated Press             try’s  finances  are  strong  “Given  the  major  uncer-
            LONDON  (AP)  —  Britain’s  as  Britain  braces  for  the  tainties  facing  the  econ-
            Treasury  chief  is  likely  to  shock  of  leaving  the  Euro-  omy  centered  on  Brexit,
            ignore  demands  that  the  pean  Union.  That  leaves  Mr.  Hammond  is  report-
            government  ease  seven  him  little  room  for  spend-   edly concerned that inves-
            years  of  austerity  when  ing increases, even after a  tor  confidence  in  the  U.K.
            he  unveils  the  budget  year  in  which  the  heroism  could  be  seriously  dam-
            Wednesday,     opting   in-  of police and firefighters fu-  aged  if  he  abandons  the
            stead  to  keep  a  tight  rein  eled calls to end the pub-  fiscal  framework  adopted
            on  spending  as  economic  lic  sector pay  cap,  teach-  only  a  year  ago,”  said
            growth slows and the coun-   ers  marched  to  demand  Howard Archer, chief eco-
            try prepares for the impact  increased  school  funding  nomic  adviser  for  the  EY
            of Brexit.                   and  the  National  Health  Item Club.
            Philip  Hammond  is  under  Service  struggled  to  treat  A year ago, Prime Minister





                                                                                                   Britain’s Chancellor Philip Hammond walks out of 11 Downing
                                                                                                   Street in London. Britain’s Treasury chief is likely to ignore de-
                                                                                                   mands that the government ease seven years of austerity when
                                                                                                   he unveils the budget Wednesday Nov. 22, 2017, opting instead
                                                                                                   to keep a tight rein on spending as economic growth slows and
                                                                                                   the country prepares for the impact of Brexit.
                                                                                                                                   (AP Photo/Frank Augstein)
                                                                                                   Theresa  May’s  Conserva-    40 percent in 2007, the Of-
                                                                                                   tive-led  government  was  fice  for  National  Statistics
                                                                                                   touting  the  fact  that  Brit-  said Tuesday. At the same
                                                                                                   ain had one of the fastest-  time, the Office of Budget
                                                                                                   growing  economies  in  the  Responsibility  has  warned
                                                                                                   developed world. But now  that it will cut its forecast for
                                                                                                   the  economy  is  slowing,  productivity  over  the  next
                                                                                                   partly as a result of uncer-  five  years.  That  is  expect-
                                                                                                   tainty  linked  to  Brexit,  and  ed to mean lower tax rev-
                                                                                                   that  is  undermining  the  enues  and  make  it  harder
                                                                                                   growth many hoped would  for Hammond to ease aus-
                                                                                                   spur tax revenue and fund  terity and boost public sec-
                                                                                                   increased spending.          tor pay. A flurry of relatively
                                                                                                   Britain’s  economy  grew  at  inexpensive  initiatives  is
                                                                                                   an  annual  rate  of  1.5  per-  likely to attempt to deflect
                                                                                                   cent  in  the  third  quarter,  media  attention  from  the
                                                                                                   compared  with  the  euro-   somber  news.  Hammond
                                                                                                   zone’s 2.5 percent.          will promise to spur techno-
                                                                                                   The gloomy outlook comes  logical innovation by fund-
                                                                                                   as  public  finances  are  ing artificial intelligence re-
                                                                                                   weakening.    Public   bor-  search, electric car charg-
                                                                                                   rowing  jumped  to  8  billion  ing points and digital skills.
                                                                                                   pounds in October, above  Britain’s  ongoing  housing
                                                                                                   predictions  of  7.5  billion,  shortage is also likely to fig-
                                                                                                   driven  by  higher  borrow-  ure large, said Kallum Pick-
                                                                                                   ing costs. Borrowing is at a  ering, senior U.K. Economist
                                                                                                   similar  level  to  that  before  at  Berenberg.  “The  hous-
                                                                                                   the 2007-2008 financial cri-  ing  market  is  the  Achilles’
                                                                                                   sis, the House of Commons  heel of the U.K. economy.
                                                                                                   said  in  a  statement  re-  The decades-long deficit in
                                                                                                   leased  ahead of the bud-    annual  house  building  has
                                                                                                   get.                         contributed  significantly  to
                                                                                                   Public  sector  net  debt  the  rise  in  household  debt
                                                                                                   now totals 87.2 percent of  and wealth inequality,” he
                                                                                                   gross  domestic  product,  said, adding that the prob-
                                                                                                   compared  with  less  than  lem isn’t simple to fix.q
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