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BUSINESS                 Thursday 30 January 2020
                                                                                                                           A25

            Buyers move to used vehicles as new autos hit record prices




            By TOM KRISHER                                                                                                      es,  fees  and  automaker
            AP Auto Writer                                                                                                      incentives,  hit  a  record  of
            DETROIT  (AP)  —  The  aver-                                                                                        $39,028  last  November,
            age  sale  price  of  a  new                                                                                        according  to  Cox.  But  as
            vehicle hit a record of just                                                                                        demand  from  individual
            over $39,000 late last year,                                                                                        buyers  ebbed  in  Decem-
            a figure that chased many                                                                                           ber, dealer discounts grew
            buyers  out  of  the  market                                                                                        to  7%  of  the  sticker  price,
            and  into  used  vehicles,                                                                                          the  highest  level  since  the
            which could set a sales re-                                                                                         financial  crisis  in  July  of
            cord.                                                                                                               2009. That drove the aver-
            The shift to used, aided by                                                                                         age  price  down  slightly  to
            millions  of  late-model  ve-                                                                                       $38,948, according to Cox.
            hicles coming off two- and                                                                                          Richard  Bazzy,  owner  of
            three-year  leases,  is  good                                                                                       three  Pittsburgh-area  Ford
            for consumers who can get                                                                                           dealerships, said automak-
            well-equipped  cars,  trucks                                                                                        ers  like  Ford  are  going  to
            and  SUVs  for  far  less  than                                                                                     have to keep up low inter-
            new  ones.  But  it  could  be                                                                                      est  loans  and  cash  offers
            bad  for  automakers,  with                                                                                         to  keep  new  vehicle  sales
            many  industry  analysts  ex-  In this June 26, 2018, file photograph, a used 2017 Chevrolet Cruze sits in a row of other used, late-  strong.
            pecting  new-vehicle  sales   model sedans at a dealership in Centennial, Colo.                                     Still, there are forces work-
            to fall in 2020.                                                                                   Associated Press   ing  against  lower  new-
            Consumers  bought  an  es-   six  years,  would  bring  a  cost  $20,533.  A  3-year-old   have  afforded  a  new  car  vehicle  prices.  People  are
            timated  40.4  million  used   monthly  payment  of  just  one  cost  an  average  of   but  knew  she  shouldn't  still buying SUVs and trucks,
            vehicles  last  year,  likely   over $600.                $22,571.  Borrowing  $20,000   spend  more  than  $30,000  which  accounted  for  69%
            passing  the  old  record  of   Since  many  lenders  limit  for six years would cost an   while trying to recover from  of U.S. sales last year. Trucks
            40.2 million set in 2018, ac-  auto buyers to a payment  average  buyer  about  a      financial  problems.  She  and  SUVs  generally  are
            cording to figures from the   of 15% of their income, the  $340 monthly payment.       decided  in  early  January  more expensive than cars,
            Edmunds.com auto pricing     lowest-income  buyer  who  Price  isn't  the  only  reason   to buy a silver 2016 Toyota  so that drives up the aver-
            site.  Edmunds,  which  pro-  could  afford  the  average  buying  used  is  becoming   Corolla with 25,000 miles on  age sale price.
            vides content to The Asso-   price would have to make  more attractive. Automak-       it  from  Carvana  for  about  Also,  people  still  want  the
            ciated Press, won't call it a   over $48,000 per year, said  ers,  dealers  and  sites  like   $15,000.             latest  safety  and  infotain-
            record  until  final  numbers   Matt  Dundas,  finance  di-  Carvana  offer  used  ve-  "I'm going to look for some-  ment   technology,   says
            arrive  sometime  in  mid-   rector  for  Carvana,  an  hicles  with  warranties  and   thing that's lower but still a  Chesbrough, and they are
            February.                    online  used-vehicle  sales  maintenance       records,   reliable vehicle," she said. "I  willing  to  spend  to  get  it.
            At the same time, new-ve-    company.                     sometimes  calling  them     wasn't really in a position to  Automakers  are  differen-
            hicle sales dropped 1.3% to   "That's  approaching  the  "certified pre-owned."        be  super-picky.  Maybe  I'll  tiating  their  new  vehicles
            just over 17 million last year,   U.S.  median  household  in-  "I think we're making it not   get what I want next time."  from even 2-year-old ones
            and some industry analysts   come  of  just  over  $60,000,  as scary to buy a used car,"   As  demand  falls,  the  in-  by  adding  more  driver  as-
            are  predicting  they'll  fall   and  even  then,  you're  still  Dundas  said.  "It's  in  great   dustry  could  be  forced  to  sist  and  safety  features  as
            into the mid-16 millions this   right  up  against  lender  shape,  it's  clean  and  I'm   increase  incentives  such  well  as  bigger  navigation
            year.                        limits,"  Dundas  said.  "Ide-  dealing  with  a  legitimate   as  cash  rebates  and  low-  screens and other technol-
            "This  affordability  issue  is   ally  the  average  per-  company," he said.         interest  financing,  and  ul-  ogy, he said.
            sort  of  scaring  consumers   son  wouldn't  be  right  up  A  record  2.8  million  certi-  timately  that  could  bring  "All of that is going to force
            away"  from  new  vehicles,   against the line," he said.  fied  pre-owned  vehicles   new vehicle prices down.     these vehicle prices to con-
            said  Charlie  Chesbrough,   The  lower  prices  make  were  sold  last  year,  ac-    The  average  new  vehicle  tinue  to  creep  up,"  Ches-
            senior  economist  at  Cox   late-model  used  vehicles  cording to Cox.               sales  price,  including  tax-  brough said.q
            Automotive,    which    in-  more attractive. Last year,  Aundrya  Richardson,  an
            cludes  Kelley  Blue  Book.   Edmunds  estimated  the  emergency  dispatcher  in
            "You have this sort of com-  average     used    vehicle  the  Atlanta  area,  could
            petition  out  there  of  used
            vehicles that is offering an
            alternative to people who
            are looking for value."
            Chesbrough expects new-
            vehicle sales to fall to 16.6
            million this year, while Stan-
            dard & Poors analyst Nishit
            Madlani  predicts  16.4  mil-
            lion "amid a wave of used
            autos  hitting  the  market
            and  high  sticker  prices  on
            new  cars."  S&P  sees  a  fur-
            ther decline to 16.3 million
            for the following two years.
            If a buyer with good credit
            bought  an  average  new
            vehicle for $39,000 and put
            $2,000  down,  they  would
            borrow  $37,000.  That  sum,
            at  about  6%  interest  for
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