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A12 SCIENCE
Thursday 24 March 2022
Hot spring forecast: Drought deepens in
West, flooding ebbs
to keep alive," said Brad
Rippey, a U.S. Department
of Agriculture meteorolo-
gist, in a press briefing.
The more than 20-year
megadrought gripping
the West is the worst in
1,200 years and is stoked
by human-caused climate
change from the burning
of coal, oil and natural gas,
studies have found. Wors-
ening drought also sets the
stage for more dangerous
A pier and dock sits above Lake Tahoe's receding shoreline wildfires in summer, said
Wednesday, Oct. 20, 2021 at Tahoe City, Calif. Brad Pugh, a drought me-
Associated Press teorologist with the NOAA's
Climate Prediction Center.
By SETH BORENSTEIN reason the West is warm- In the central part of the
AP Science Writer ing is climate change, es- country, spring often brings
There's no relief in sight for pecially over the multiple flooding worries. But this
the West's record-shatter- decade timeframe." year, the flooding risk is mi-
ing megadrought, which Already, 60% of the nation nor for much of the Missis-
will likely only deepen this is in some form of drought, sippi River valley and Ten-
spring, the National Oce- the largest drought cover- nessee Valley.
anic and Atmospheric Ad- age since 2013, said Jon Major flooding and sig-
ministration said in its sea- Gottschalck, operational nificant damage might af-
sonal outlook Thursday. But prediction chief at NOAA's fect about 500,000 people,
central and eastern states Climate Prediction Center. which is far fewer than in
should be mostly spared He said the conditions are most years. Above aver-
from significant flooding. likely to get worse in many age precipitation and oth-
Spring is likely to be hotter of those areas and could er factors increased flood
than normal in most states set the stage for more heat risk near the Red River that
and drier as well for much waves. La Nina, a natu- divides North Dakota and
of the West, NOAA meteo- ral periodic cooling of the
rologists said. They said the central Pacific that affects Minnesota, NOAA said.q
high heat and drought will climate worldwide, is a
fuel each other as the lack huge factor in the spring
of rain makes it hotter, in- outlook, Gottschalck said.
tensifying dry conditions. In California, especially
NOAA predicts all of the the Central Valley, three-
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