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                                                                                                 U.S. NEWS Wednesday 11 May 2022
             U.S. intel questioned for misjudging Afghanistan, Ukraine



            By NOMAAN MERCHANT                                                                                                  would fall in three days and
            Associated Press                                                                                                    Ukraine  would  fall  in  two
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  Top                                                                                            weeks?"  he  said.  "You're
            U.S.  intelligence  officials                                                                                       telling  me  that  was  accu-
            were  questioned  Tuesday                                                                                           rate intelligence?
            about why they misjudged                                                                                            U.S.  intelligence  believed
            the  durability  of  govern-                                                                                        before  the  war  Russia's
            ments  in  both  Afghanistan                                                                                        forces were so much larger
            and  Ukraine,  and  whether                                                                                         and  more  powerful  than
            they  need  to  reform  how                                                                                         Ukraine's that "it wasn't go-
            intelligence  agencies  as-                                                                                         ing to go very well for a va-
            sess  a  foreign  military's  will                                                                                  riety of factors," Berrier said.
            to fight.                                                                                                           He  testified  Tuesday  that
            U.S.  intelligence  believed                                                                                        "there  was  never  an  intel-
            the U.S.-backed Kabul gov-                                                                                          ligence  community  assess-
            ernment would hold out for                                                                                          ment that said the Ukraini-
            months against the Taliban                                                                                          ans lacked the will to fight."
            and thought Russian forces                                                                                          That appears to contradict
            would  overrun  Ukraine  in                                                                                         his  statement  from  Senate
            a  few  weeks.  Both  assess-                                                                                       testimony  in  March,  when
            ments  were  wrong.  The     Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines testifies during a Senate Armed Services hearing to   Berrier said he "questioned
            U.S. and Western allies are   examine worldwide threats on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, May 10, 2022.       their will to fight. That was a
            now rushing to aid Ukraine's                                                                       Associated Press  bad assessment on my part
            resistance  against  Russia                                                                                         because they have fought
            in  what  has  turned  into  a  said that "will to fight" and  done "a great job."     possibly  say  that  when  we  bravely and honorably and
            grinding, violent stalemate.  "capacity  to  fight"  in  tan-  "General,  how  can  you  were  told  explicitly,  Kyiv  are doing the right thing."q
            "What  we  missed  was  the  dem  were  difficult  to  pre-
            will  to  fight  of  the  Ukraini-  dict.  The  National  Intel-
            ans...and  we  also  missed  ligence  Council,  a  group
            that  in  Afghanistan,"  said  of  advisers  that  reviews
            Sen.  Angus  King,  an  inde-  the agencies as a whole, is
            pendent  from  Maine,  at  studying the issue, she said.
            a  hearing  of  the  Senate  "The two of them are issues
            Armed  Services  Commit-     that  are,  as  you  indicat-
            tee. He added, "I realize will  ed,  quite  challenging  to
            to fight is a lot harder to as-  provide  effective  analysis
            sess  than  number  of  tanks  on," Haines told King. "And
            or volume of ammunition or  we're  looking  at  different
            something.  But  I  hope  the  methodologies  for  doing
            intelligence  community  is  so."
            doing some soul-searching  The  U.S.  might  have  done
            about how to better get a  more  before  the  invasion
            handle on that question."    to assist Zelenskyy had law-
            President  Joe  Biden's  ad-  makers  believed  Kyiv  had
            ministration  disclosed  in  more  of  a  chance,  King
            advance Russian President  said.  And  after  predictions
            Vladimir  Putin's  intentions  that  the  Taliban  would  be
            to invade Ukraine, a public  held  back  as  long  as  a
            campaign that it says built  year  after  the  American
            support  for  crushing  sanc-  withdrawal,  the  coalition-
            tions  on  the  Russian  econ-  backed  government  "last-
            omy  and  military  support  ed  minus-two  weeks,"  King
            from  NATO  members.  Top  noted,  a  reference  to  the
            U.S.  officials  have  gone  to  Taliban  overrunning  Kabul
            Kyiv to meet with President  before  the  withdrawal  for-
            Volodymyr  Zelenskyy  and  mally ended.
            pledged more military and  The U.S. was forced to ne-
            intelligence support.        gotiate with the Taliban to
            Avril Haines, the U.S. direc-  evacuate  of  thousands  of
            tor of national intelligence,  American  citizens  and  Af-
                                         ghan  allies  fighting  huge
                                         crowds  to  secure  space
                                         on  evacuation  flights.  An
                                         attack at the Kabul airport
                                         killed 13 U.S. troops and at
                                         least 170 Afghan civilians.
                                         King raised his voice to cut
                                         off  Lt.  Gen.  Scott  Berrier,
                                         head of the Defense Intel-
                                         ligence  Agency,  after  Ber-
                                         rier  said  he  believed  the
             facebook.com/arubatoday/    intelligence  agencies  had
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