Page 28 - min.vos
P. 28

A28

SCIENCETuesday 26 May 2015

Study: Europeans to suffer more ragweed with global warming

SETH BORENSTEIN              In this Aug. 14, 2001 file photo, pollen on a ragweed plant in is seen Newark, N.J. A new study                                       predicted increases in
AP Science Writer            says global warming will bring much more sneezing and wheezing to Europe by mid-century.                                              the annual pollen count
WASHINGTON (AP) —                                                                                                                                                  of 100 to 1,100 percent,
Global warming will bring                                                                                                                        Associated Press  with a general average of
much more sneezing and                                                                                                                                             around 300 percent, Vau-
wheezing to Europe by        es Laboratory in Yvette,    can expect to see many       The researchers used                                                         tard said.
mid-century, a new study     France. That includes Par-  more allergy sufferers,”     computer simulations with                                                    Land use and the way the
says.                        is, where Vautard lives.    said Daniel Chapman, an      different scenarios of car-                                                  non-native plants take
Ragweed pollen levels        “As warmer tempera-         invasive species expert      bon dioxide pollution for                                                    over new areas account
are likely to quadruple for  tures and higher carbon     at the Centre for Ecology    the next 35 years. And if                                                    for about one-third of
much of Europe because       dioxide concentrations      and Hydrology in Edin-       the world doesn’t make                                                       the increased ragweed
warmer temperatures will     allow ragweed to be-        burgh, Scotland. He did      a large change in emis-                                                      counts, with climate
allow the plants to take     come more vigorous and      not take part in the study,  sions from coal, oil and                                                     change the rest, Vautard
root more, and carbon        invade further north, we    but praised it.              gas, the computer runs                                                       said.
dioxide will make them                                                                                                                                             Earlier studies show that
grow more, says a study                                                                                                                                            ragweed pollen season
published Monday in the                                                                                                                                            in North America has al-
journal Nature Climate                                                                                                                                             ready extended by as
Change. Other factors                                                                                                                                              much as three weeks in
not related to man-made                                                                                                                                            some northern locales,
climate change will also                                                                                                                                           partly because of climate
contribute.                                                                                                                                                        change.
Ragweed isn’t native to                                                                                                                                            U.S. Environmental Pro-
Europe, but was imported                                                                                                                                           tection Agency climate
from America in the late                                                                                                                                           scientist Michael Ko-
19th century. It hasn’t                                                                                                                                            lian, who wasn’t part of
quite become estab-                                                                                                                                                the new study, said the
lished all over the conti-                                                                                                                                         French study fits with pre-
nent, at least not yet.                                                                                                                                            vious research and the
Parts of France, the United                                                                                                                                        U.S. National Climate As-
Kingdom and Germany                                                                                                                                                sessment, which conclud-
don’t have the allergens                                                                                                                                           ed “climate change, as
now, but they will by 2050,                                                                                                                                        well as increased carbon
says study co-author Rob-                                                                                                                                          dioxide by itself, can con-
ert Vautard, a climate                                                                                                                                             tribute to increased pro-
scientist at the Climate                                                                                                                                           duction of plant-based
and Environment Scienc-                                                                                                                                            allergens.”q
   23   24   25   26   27   28   29   30   31   32   33