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A12    BUSINESS
                          Friday 5 May 2023


                                                                      The banking crisis isn’t over. But how

                                                                      bad will it get?





                                                                      By  KEN  SWEET  and  MI-
                                                                      CHELLE CHAPMAN
                                                                      AP Business Writer
                                                                      NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  Uncer-
                                                                      tainty  continues  to  pum-
                                                                      mel  the  banking  industry,
                                                                      despite  assurances  from
                                                                      financial  regulators  and
                                                                      bankers such as Jamie Di-
                                                                      mon  this  week  that  the
                                                                      worst of the recent crisis is
                                                                      over and the health of the
                                                                      banking  system  remains
                                                                      strong.
                                                                      Bank  shares  have  sold  off
                                                                      on Wall Street this week fol-  Customers read an announcement in the window of a First
                                                                      lowing the government sei-   Republic Bank branch by their headquarters in San Francisco,
                                                                      zure  and  subsequent  sale   Monday, May 1, 2023.
                                                                      of  First  Republic  Bank  to                                         Associated Press
                                                                      JPMorgan.  It  was  the  sec-
                                                                      ond-largest bank  failure  in   Yet markets do not appear   The KBW index of regional
                                                                      U.S.  history  and  the  third   to  have  been  reassured   banks  has  fallen  13%  so
                                                                      failure  of  a  midsize  lender   by  prominent  names  in   far  this  week.  PacWest
                                                                      in two months.               finance  who  say  instabil-  was  targeted  because  of
                                                                      While  many  thought  the    ity  in  the  banking  sector   a  high  concentration  of
                                                                      sale of First Republic “would   ended  with  the  takeover   large,  uninsured  deposits
                                                                      stop the ‘who’s next?’ con-  Monday  of  First  Republic   from  venture  capital  and
                                                                      versations,  investors  are   Bank, the third bank failure   tech  clients,  the  same
                                                                      clearly continuing to focus   in  short  order.  JPMorgan’s   type of customers who trig-
                                                                      on  remaining  players  that   Dimon  said  Monday  that   gered bank runs at Silicon
                                                                      are deemed the weakest”      he  believed  “this  part”  of   Valley  and  First  Republic.
                                                                      analysts  at  UBS  wrote  in  a   the banking crisis was over.   But  even  Midwest  region-
                                                                      note to clients.             Federal  Reserve  Chair  Je-  als such as Comerica and
                                                                      The bigger worry is that the   rome  Powell  vouched  for   KeyCorp  are  down  more
                                                                      bank  failures  might  lead   the health of the financial   than  20%  this  week.  That
                                                                      to  doubts  about  relatively   system on Wednesday.      could   reflect   concerns
                                                                      healthy  banks,  creating  a   Regardless  of  those  assur-  about  large  amounts  of
                                                                      financial  contagion  that   ances,  a  renewed  sell-off   real  estate  loans,  particu-
                                                                      could  impact  the  wider    Thursday  focused  on  Pac-  larly  in  the  office  property
                                                                      economy.  Averting  that     West  Bancorp  and  West-    market,  which  continues
                                                                      scenario  was  the  reason   ern  Alliance  Bancorp,  two   to suffer the effects of the
                                                                      the  U.S.  put  tighter  restric-  smaller   regional   banks   pandemic.
                                                                      tions  on  major  banks  fol-  whose  shares  have  been   PacWest,  based  in  Los
                                                                      lowing the financial crisis 15   under  pressure  since  Sili-  Angeles,  and  Western  Al-
                                                                      years ago.                   con  Valley  Bank  failed  in   liance,  in  Phoenix,  each
                                                                      It  is  difficult  to  ignore  the   mid-March and set off the   issued  a  statement  over-
                                                                      sense of unease in banking   current  crisis.  PacWest  fell   night  saying  they  weren’t
                                                                      right  now,  though  there’s   38%  after  acknowledging   experiencing  any  out-of-
                                                                      no need for concern if your   it  was  considering  putting   the-ordinary  deposit  with-
                                                                      money is in a bank insured   itself up for sale.          drawals  following  the  sale
                                                                      by  the  Federal  Deposit  In-  But there was a significant   of  First  Republic,  a  classic
                                                                      surance  Corp.  and  you     sell-off  in  numerous  re-  bank run that was acceler-
                                                                      have  less  than  $250,000   gional  banks,  including  Zi-  ated by social media and
                                                                      there,  which  covers  most   ons Bancorporation, Com-    modern  technology.  Both
                                                                      accounts.                    erica,  Truist,  KeyCorp  and   saw  significant  withdraw-
                                                                                                   Huntington.                  als  following  the  failure  of
                                                                                                                                Silicon Valley Bank, but the
                                                                                                                                banks  say  deposits  have
                                                                                                                                increased since March 31.
                                                                                                                                Western  Alliance  issued  a
                                                                                                                                separate  statement  Thurs-
                                                                                                                                day  morning  denying  a
                                                                                                                                story in The Financial Times
                                                                                                                                that  said  the  bank  is  con-
                                                                                                                                sidering  a  sale.  Its  shares
                                                                                                                                were  down  26%  in  after-
                                                                                                                                noon trading, but had tum-
                                                                                                                                bled 40% earlier.q
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