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A12    BUSINESS
                  Monday 5 deceMber 2022
                                                                      No OPEC+ oil shakeup as Russian price


                                                                      cap stirs uncertainty



                                                                      By DAVID McHUGH
                                                                      AP Business Writer
                                                                      FRANKFURT,  Germany  (AP)
                                                                      —  The  Saudi-led  OPEC  oil
                                                                      cartel  and  allied  produc-
                                                                      ers including Russia did not
                                                                      change  their  targets  for
                                                                      shipping  oil  to  the  global
                                                                      economy  amid  uncertain-
                                                                      ty about the impact of new
                                                                      Western  sanctions  against
                                                                      Russia  that  could  take  sig-
                                                                      nificant  amounts  of  oil  off
                                                                      the market.
                                                                      The  decision  at  a  meet-
                                                                      ing  of  oil  ministers  Sunday
                                                                      comes a day ahead of the
                                                                      planned start of two mea-    Taps are photographed at a gas station in Frankfurt, Germany,
                                                                                                   on Oct. 5, 2022.
                                                                      sures  aimed  at  hitting  Rus-                                       Associated Press
                                                                      sia’s oil earnings in response
                                                                      to its invasion of Ukraine.   sions in the U.S. and Europe   slowing,  oil  prices  have
                                                                      Those  are:  a  European  also  raise  the  prospect  of   been  falling  since  sum-
                                                                      Union boycott of most Rus-   lower demand for gasoline    mertime  highs,  with  inter-
                                                                      sian oil and a price cap of  and other fuel made from     national  benchmark  Brent
                                                                      $60  per  barrel  on  Russian  crude.                     closing Friday at $85.42 per
                                                                      exports imposed by the EU  That uncertainty is the rea-   barrel,  down  from  $98  a
                                                                      and  the  Group  of  Seven  son  the  OPEC+  alliance     month ago.
                                                                      democracies.                 gave  in  October  for  a    That  has  eased  gasoline
                                                                      It is not yet clear how much  slashing  production  by  2   prices  for  drivers  around
                                                                      Russian  oil  the  two  sanc-  million barrels per day start-  the world.
                                                                      tions  measures  could  take  ing in November, a cut that   Average  gas  prices  have
                                                                      off  the  global  market,  remains  in  effect.  Analysts   fallen  for  U.S.  drivers  in  re-
                                                                      which  would  tighten  sup-  say that took less than the   cent days to $3.41 per gal-
                                                                      ply and drive up prices. The  full amount off the market   lon, according to motoring
                                                                      world’s  No.  2  oil  producer  because  OPEC+  members   club federation AAA.
                                                                      has  been  able  to  reroute  already  can’t  meet  their   While  U.S.,  European  and
                                                                      much, but not all, of its for-  full production quotas.   other  allies  seek  to  pun-
                                                                      mer  Europe  shipments  to  An  OPEC+  statement  Sun-    ish  Russia  for  the  war  in
                                                                      customers  in  India,  China  day  pushed  back  against   Ukraine, they also want to
                                                                      and Turkey.                  criticism  of  that  October   prevent  a  sudden  loss  of
                                                                      The impact of the price cap  decision  in  view  of  the  re-  Russian  crude  that  could
                                                                      is also up in the air because  cent weakness in oil prices,   send oil and gasoline pric-
                                                                      Russia has said it could sim-  saying  the  cut  had  been   es back up.
                                                                      ply halt deliveries to coun-  “recognized  in  retrospect   That  is  why  the  G-7  price
                                                                      tries that observe the limit.  by the market participants   cap  allows  shipping  and
                                                                      But analysts say the country  to  have  been  the  neces-  insurance  companies  to
                                                                      would  likely  also  find  ways  sary and the right course of   transport Russian oil to non-
                                                                      to evade the cap for some  action  towards  stabilizing   Western  nations  at  or  be-
                                                                      shipments.                   global oil markets.”         low that threshold. Most of
                                                                      On  the  other  side,  oil  has  The  White  House,  which   the  globe’s  tanker  fleet  is
                                                                      been trading at lower pric-  has  pressed  for  more  oil   covered  by  insurers  in  the
                                                                      es  on  fears  that  coronavi-  supply  to  keep  gasoline   G-7 or EU.
                                                                      rus  outbreaks  and  China’s  costs down for U.S. drivers,   Russia  would  likely  try  to
                                                                      strict  zero-COVID  restric-  at  the  time  called  the  cut   evade the cap by organiz-
                                                                      tions  would  reduce  de-    “shortsighted” and said the   ing  its  own  insurance  and
                                                                      mand for fuel in one of the  alliance was “aligning with   using the world’s shadowy
                                                                      world’s  major  economies.  Russia.”                      fleet of off-the-books tank-
                                                                      Concerns  about  reces-      With  the  global  economy   ers, as Iran and Venezuela
                                                                                                                                have done, but that would
                                                                                                                                be  costly  and  cumber-
                                                                                                                                some, analysts say.
                                                                                                                                The  cap  of  $60  a  barrel  is
                                                                                                                                near  the  current  price  of
                                                                                                                                Russian  oil,  meaning  Mos-
                                                                                                                                cow could continue to sell
                                                                                                                                while  rejecting  the  cap  in
                                                                                                                                principle.  Oil  use  also  de-
                                                                                                                                clines in the winter, in part
                                                                                                                                because fewer people are
                                                                                                                                driving.q
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